ArticleScience advances2026
The pace of meeting carbon emission targets alters regional climate risks.
Article in Science advances, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
0 citing papers in PubMed.
No citing paper in PubMed yet.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Carbon budgets, derived from the near-linear link between cumulative carbon emissions and global warming, guide climate mitigation and adaptation. However, the impact of the pace of reaching a target budget on climate response remains uncertain. Using 29 climate models, we compare scenarios reaching the same carbon emission target slowly or quickly. A faster trajectory produces stronger land warming and greater exposure to extreme heat waves than a slower pathway. Of 46 land regions, 37 (80%) warm more and 39 (85%) experience higher heat wave exposure in the faster case. This arises because the deep ocean cannot absorb heat rapidly, amplifying atmospheric warming. These findings underscore that not only the total emissions but also the pace of emissions critically governs regional climate risks.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.