Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42045184›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

Dynamic restrengthening and fault heterogeneity explain megathrust earthquake complexity.

Jeremy Wing Ching Wong, Alice-Agnes Gabriel, Wenyuan Fan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Jeremy Wing Ching WongInstitute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, Scripps Institution of Oceanography University of California, San Diego, CA, USA. jeremywong@ucsd.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5523-8145
Alice-Agnes GabrielInstitute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, Scripps Institution of Oceanography University of California, San Diego, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0112-8412
Wenyuan FanInstitute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, Scripps Institution of Oceanography University of California, San Diego, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2983-8240

Funding

EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020) 852992National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) 80NSSC20K0495National Science Foundation (NSF) EAR-2121568National Science Foundation (NSF) EAR-2143413National Science Foundation (NSF) EAR-2225286National Science Foundation (NSF) OAC-2311208
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Megathrusts host Earth's largest earthquakes. Understanding the physical conditions controlling their rupture dynamics is critical for assessing seismic and tsunami hazards. These earthquakes often display complex rupture dynamics, exemplified by the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake, which exhibited multiple rupture episodes, depth-dependent seismic radiation, and substantial tsunamigenic slip near the trench. However, how such complexity arises from preexisting physical conditions remains uncertain. Here, we demonstrate that the observed rupture complexity of the Tohoku-Oki earthquake can spontaneously and self-consistently emerge, driven by rapid coseismic frictional restrengthening and data-informed fault heterogeneity. We use an ensemble of 3D dynamic rupture simulations to identify that mixed downdip pulse-like and updip crack-like rupture are driven by dynamic stress redistribution with episodic rupture reactivation. By featuring low fault strength compared to its dynamic stress drop, a preferred model can consistently reproduce the observed complex depth-dependent propagation speeds, multiple rupture fronts as imaged by back-projection, and large tsunamigenic slip at the trench. Our findings demonstrate that preexisting fault heterogeneity conjointly with dynamic frictional weakening and restrengthening drives seemingly unexpected megathrust rupture complexity, highlighting the need to include dynamic effects into physics-based seismic and tsunami hazard assessments of future earthquakes.

Identifiers

PMID42045184
PMCPMC13323747

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.