ArticleGalen medical journal2025
Futurology of the Situation of Public Hospitals in Iran Until 2032 : Futurology of the Situation of Public Hospitals in Iran until 2032.
Article in Galen medical journal, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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4 authors.
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Abstract
Background: Background: The changes in the role of hospitals in the future require planning for the changes in the structure of hospitals. This study aimed to explore the state of public hospitals in Iran by 2032. Materials and Methods: Materials and Methods: The participants were 20 hospital management and healthcare experts selected using purposive sampling. Structural interaction analysis and MICMAC software were used for data processing. Results: Results: The findings indicated the growing budgetary constraints in the health sector due to the increasing economic and health burden of non-communicable diseases and emerging diseases caused by environmental changes, the structure of the purchase of drugs, consumables, and medical equipment, the share of the health sector in the national public budget, providing access to capital/loans for the development of hospital activities by the government, the cost-effectiveness ratio of each service, the overcharged tariff set for hospital services, and public health insurance and a shift from employer-based insurance coverage to government-oriented insurance coverage are the key drivers affecting the state of public hospitals in Iran. Conclusion: Conclusion: The identified factors play a vital role in the state of public hospitals in Iran. This can be useful for policymakers and hospital managers to recognize the future developments of hospitals and healthcare centers.
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