Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42038035›Full record

ArticleDiscover cities2026

Extreme heat disproportionately increases severe road traffic crashes in high conflict settings and among vulnerable road users in California.

Cheng-Kai Hsu, D Alex Quistberg, Carolina Pérez-Ferrer, Daniel A Rodríguez

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Discover cities, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Cheng-Kai HsuDepartment of City and Regional Planning and Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Berkeley, CA USA.
D Alex QuistbergDornsife School of Public Health, Drexel University, Philadelphia, PA USA.
Carolina Pérez-FerrerCenter for Research in Population Health, National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Morelos Mexico.
Daniel A RodríguezDepartment of City and Regional Planning and Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Berkeley, CA USA.

Funding

Research Project CoreP20MD019221 · NIMHD · DREXEL UNIVERSITY · PI LAZO ELIZONDO, MARIANA · 2023 to 2025
$3.2M
Built Environment, Pedestrian Injuries and Deep Learning (BEPIDL) StudyK01TW011782 · FIC · DREXEL UNIVERSITY · PI QUISTBERG, DUANE ALEXANDER · 2020 to 2024
$773k
FIC NIH HHS K01 TW011782NIMHD NIH HHS P20 MD019221
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Emerging evidence suggests that extreme heat elevates road-traffic injuries, undermining international road safety efforts like Vision Zero as global warming intensifies. However, the mechanisms underlying heat-related crashes remain poorly understood, with limited research linking heat exposure to specific crash types that may be driven by heat-induced unsafe road behaviors. Here, we analyzed temperature data and police-reported crash records-including detailed crash scene information-from 177 California cities (2012-2023) using a time-stratified case-crossover design, examining variations in risk by crash type and contextual factors. We observed that extreme heat was associated with elevated risks of fatal and severe crashes, with risk increasing monotonically at higher temperatures. Associations were more pronounced in high-conflict settings such as intersections; among vulnerable road users, including bicyclists and pedestrians; and in crashes involving driver-related violations common to these contexts, such as improper turning and failure to yield to pedestrians, and instances where pedestrians or bicyclists were themselves the at-fault parties. These patterns are consistent with the possibility that extreme heat may increase crash risk by influencing road behavior, reinforcing behavioral mechanisms as a plausible pathway. They also highlight potential disparities in road safety, particularly affecting individuals who continue to walk or cycle and remain mobile during extreme heat, such as low-income individuals without access to climate-controlled vehicles. Urban planning and transportation policies should integrate climate resilience into road safety strategies, such as shaded intersections, cooling interventions for vulnerable road users, enhanced right-of-way protections during extreme heat, and institutional recognition of heat as a situational risk factor.

Indexed as

BicyclistExtreme heatPedestrianRoad traffic crashSeverityViolation

Identifiers

PMID42038035
PMCPMC13102899

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.