Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42022600›Full record

ArticleHealth science reports2026

Competing Risk Survival Analysis of Time to In-Hospital Recovery or Death Among COVID-19 Patients: A Hospital-Based Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study in Southeast Ethiopia.

Addis Wordofa, Ayalneh Demissie, Abdurehman Kalu, Abdurehman Tune, Mohammed Suleiman Obsa, Abay Kibret, Zerihun Abera, Yonas Mulugeta

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Article in Health science reports, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Addis WordofaDepartment of Public Health College of Health Science, Arsi University Asella Ethiopia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1010-7931
Ayalneh DemissieDepartment of Public Health College of Health Science, Arsi University Asella Ethiopia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7240-7238
Abdurehman KaluDepartment of Public Health College of Health Science, Arsi University Asella Ethiopia.
Abdurehman TuneDepartment of Anesthesia College of Health Science, Arsi University Asella Ethiopia.
Mohammed Suleiman ObsaDepartment of Anesthesia College of Health Science, Arsi University Asella Ethiopia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6579-1136
Abay KibretDepartment of Nursing College of Health Science, Arsi University Asella Ethiopia.
Zerihun AberaDepartment of Biomedical College of Health Science, Arsi University Asella Ethiopia.
Yonas MulugetaDepartment of Biomedical College of Health Science, Arsi University Asella Ethiopia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background and Aims: In-hospital death and recovery are competing risks in COVID-19 patients, complicating prognosis. While international prognostic scores exist, their reliance on complex biomarkers limits their utility in resource-constrained settings. This study aimed to estimate the duration and identify determinants of in-hospital outcomes in southeast Ethiopia and to develop a clinically accessible risk stratification tool. Methods: Data from 827 confirmed COVID-19 patients (October 2022-May 2023) across six treatment centers were analyzed using the Fine-Gray Competing Risk Survival Analysis (CRSA). Additionally, a novel "Asella COVID-19 Risk Score" was developed using readily available bedside clinical parameters (age, comorbidity, and antibiotic use) and validated using receiver operating characteristic analysis. Results: Overall, 139/827 (17%) died, and 516/827 (62%) recovered. Risk of death was significantly higher for patients aged ≥ 50 years (acsHR = 2.62; 95%CI: 1.29, 5.29; Conclusion: Advanced age and immunocompromised status significantly increase mortality risk. The Asella COVID-19 Risk Score provides a clinically validated, high-NPV triage tool suitable for resource-limited settings, facilitating the early identification of high-risk patients and more efficient resource allocation.

Indexed as

competing risksCOVID‐19EthiopiaFine‐Gray modelin‐hospital mortalityprognostic scorerisk stratificationsurvival analysis

Identifiers

PMID42022600
PMCPMC13097643

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.