Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42020876›Full record

ArticleChild's nervous system : ChNS : official journal of the International Society for Pediatric Neurosurgery2026

Development and validation of a preoperative MRI-based predictive model for cerebellar mutism syndrome in pediatric posterior fossa tumors.

Pei-Jun Xie, Pei-Gang Lin, Ru-Yu Ai, Min-Ting Ye, Qing-Jun Hu, Shao-Qun Li, Ming-Yao Lai, Lin-Bo Cai, Juan Li

Abstract readValidation Study
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Article in Child's nervous system : ChNS : official journal of the International Society for Pediatric Neurosurgery, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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9 authors.

Pei-Jun Xie *Department of Oncology, Guangdong Sanjiu Brain Hospital, 578 Shatai South Road, Guangzhou, 510510, Guangdong, China.
Pei-Gang Lin *Institute for Brain Research and Rehabilitation, South China Normal University, Guangzhou, 510631, Guangdong, China.
Ru-Yu AiDepartment of Oncology, Guangdong Sanjiu Brain Hospital, 578 Shatai South Road, Guangzhou, 510510, Guangdong, China.
Min-Ting YeDepartment of Oncology, Guangdong Sanjiu Brain Hospital, 578 Shatai South Road, Guangzhou, 510510, Guangdong, China.
Qing-Jun HuDepartment of Oncology, Guangdong Sanjiu Brain Hospital, 578 Shatai South Road, Guangzhou, 510510, Guangdong, China.
Shao-Qun LiDepartment of Oncology, Guangdong Sanjiu Brain Hospital, 578 Shatai South Road, Guangzhou, 510510, Guangdong, China.
Ming-Yao LaiDepartment of Oncology, Guangdong Sanjiu Brain Hospital, 578 Shatai South Road, Guangzhou, 510510, Guangdong, China.
Lin-Bo CaiDepartment of Oncology, Guangdong Sanjiu Brain Hospital, 578 Shatai South Road, Guangzhou, 510510, Guangdong, China.
Juan LiDepartment of Oncology, Guangdong Sanjiu Brain Hospital, 578 Shatai South Road, Guangzhou, 510510, Guangdong, China. lijuangz@foxmail.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeWhile systematic reviews have summarized qualitative risk factors for postoperative cerebellar mutism syndrome (pCMS), a critical gap remains in translating these findings into a practical, quantitative tool for individualized preoperative prediction. This study aims to bridge this gap by developing and validating the first preoperative predictive model based on novel quantitative imaging indices to accurately estimate the risk of pCMS.

methodsWe retrospectively analyzed data from 73 pediatric patients who underwent posterior fossa surgery. We defined and measured a set of innovative quantitative imaging indices (including coronal index CORd, sagittal index SAGa, axial indices OAXa, OAXd, and a composite index OAXd*CORd) from preoperative MRIs. Anatomical invasion sites were also evaluated. Multivariate logistic regression was used to integrate these features into a predictive model. The model's performance was compared with two previously published tools (Rotterdam scale and Zhang model) using discrimination metrics, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis.

resultsInvasion of the middle cerebellar peduncle (p = 0.001), superior cerebellar peduncle (p < 0.001), and brainstem (p = 0.003) were significant anatomical risk factors. The quantitative indices SAGa, CORd, OAXa, OAXd, and OAXd*CORd showed significant differences between pCMS and non-pCMS groups (p < 0.05). Our model had the highest AUC (0.850), sensitivity (92.31%) and negative predictive value (97.62%). Rotterdam scale had the highest overall accuracy (83.56%) and specificity (86.67%) of all three models. Our model yielded the highest net benefit at lower thresholds of risk (10-25%).

conclusionThis study moves beyond existing qualitative risk factor lists by establishing a highly accurate, quantitative predictive model for pCMS. Comparison with existing tools demonstrates that our model offers superior sensitivity for identifying high-risk patients. The novel imaging indices provide refined insights into the pathophysiological mechanisms, potentially involving cerebello-thalamic pathways. This model serves as a practical clinical tool for preoperative risk assessment, surgical planning, and patient counseling.

Indexed as

Cerebellar DiseasesInfratentorial NeoplasmsMagnetic Resonance ImagingMutismPostoperative ComplicationsPreoperative CareAdolescentChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansInfantMaleMedulloblastomaPredictive Value of TestsRetrospective StudiesCerebellar mutism syndromeMedulloblastomaPosterior fossa surgeryQuantitative imaging analysis

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.