Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42015075›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2026

Development and validation of a prognostic model incorporating the blood urea nitrogen-to-albumin ratio for predicting mortality in methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus bloodstream infection.

Yen-Hsiang Wang, Yih Shin Wong, Rou-Tzu Li, Chi-Chin Huang, Hung-Yun Lin, Yin-Wen Tsai, Yi-Jyuan Lin, Tzu-Yin Lai, Chih-Chieh Hsu, Chiau-Jing Jung and 1 more

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Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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5 · Who and what money

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11 authors.

Yen-Hsiang WangSchool of Medicine, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, 11031, Taiwan.
Yih Shin WongDepartment of General Medicine, Shuang Ho Hospital, Taipei Medical University, New Taipei City, 23561, Taiwan.
Rou-Tzu LiDepartment of Medical Laboratory, Shuang Ho Hospital, Taipei Medical University, New Taipei City, 23561, Taiwan.
Chi-Chin HuangSchool of Medicine, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, 11031, Taiwan.
Hung-Yun LinSchool of Medicine, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, 11031, Taiwan.
Yin-Wen TsaiSchool of Medicine, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, 11031, Taiwan.
Yi-Jyuan LinSchool of Medicine, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, 11031, Taiwan.
Tzu-Yin LaiGraduate Institute of Medical Sciences, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, 11031, Taiwan.
Chih-Chieh HsuDepartment of Microbiology, Soochow University, Taipei, 111002, Taiwan.
Chiau-Jing Jung *Graduate Institute of Medical Sciences, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, 11031, Taiwan. cjjung@tmu.edu.tw.
Ying-Hsuan Tai *Department of Anesthesiology, Shuang Ho Hospital, Taipei Medical University, New Taipei City, 23561, Taiwan. 18045@s.tmu.edu.tw.

Funding

National Science and Technology Council NSTC112-2320-B-038-055-MY3
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMethicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) bacteremia is associated with an exceedingly high mortality rate and limited therapeutic options. Early risk stratification is essential to optimize clinical management. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of the blood urea nitrogen-to-albumin ratio (BAR) and to develop a clinically practical model to predict mortality in MRSA bloodstream infections.

methodsA retrospective cohort study that included 410 adult patients with microbiologically confirmed MRSA bloodstream infections hospitalized at a university medical center between January 1, 2020, and December 31, 2024. The primary outcome was 90-day in-hospital mortality. Patients were randomly assigned to a training cohort (n = 308) and a validation cohort (n = 102) for model development and internal validation. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify independent predictors of mortality, and model performance was assessed in terms of discrimination, calibration, and overall predictive accuracy.

resultsA total of 91 patients (22.2%) experienced 90-day in-hospital all-cause mortality. The mortality group demonstrated significantly higher BAR values [24.74 (14.29–36.00) vs. 5.37 (3.75–12.86); p < 0.001] compared with survivors. Multivariable analysis identified age [adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 1.037, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.010–1.065; p = 0.007], pulmonary infection (aOR: 2.021, 95% CI: 1.035–3.946; p = 0.039), and BAR (aOR: 1.070, 95% CI: 1.045–1.096; p < 0.001) as independent predictors of mortality. The final BAR-based model demonstrated good discriminative performance, with an AUC of 0.838 in the training cohort and 0.831 in the validation cohort.

conclusionsThe BAR was identified as an independent predictor of mortality in MRSA bacteremia. A practical prediction model with internal validation was developed to support early risk stratification in this high-risk population.

Indexed as

BacteremiaBlood Urea NitrogenMethicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureusSerum AlbuminStaphylococcal InfectionsAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHospital MortalityHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRetrospective StudiesSerum AlbuminBacteremiaBlood urea nitrogen-to-albumin ratioMethicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureusMortality predictionPrognostic model

Identifiers

PMID42015075
PMCPMC13235205

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.