Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42010256›Full record

ArticleThe pharmacogenomics journal2026

Cost-effectiveness of genotype-guided acenocoumarol therapy in atrial fibrillation: a pharmacogenomic simulation study in the chilean population.

Maximiliano Mena, Matías Carrasco, Leslie C Cerpa, Juan P Cayún, Valentina Torres, Luis A Quiñones

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Article in The pharmacogenomics journal, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Maximiliano MenaLaboratory of Chemical Carcinogenesis and Pharmacogenetics, Department of Basic-Clinical Oncology (DOBC), Faculty of Medicine, University of Chile, Carlos Schachtebeck 299, Quinta Normal, Santiago, 8500000, Chile.ORCID 0009-0006-4186-5221
Matías CarrascoLaboratory of Chemical Carcinogenesis and Pharmacogenetics, Department of Basic-Clinical Oncology (DOBC), Faculty of Medicine, University of Chile, Carlos Schachtebeck 299, Quinta Normal, Santiago, 8500000, Chile.
Leslie C CerpaLaboratory of Chemical Carcinogenesis and Pharmacogenetics, Department of Basic-Clinical Oncology (DOBC), Faculty of Medicine, University of Chile, Carlos Schachtebeck 299, Quinta Normal, Santiago, 8500000, Chile.
Juan P CayúnLaboratory of Chemical Carcinogenesis and Pharmacogenetics, Department of Basic-Clinical Oncology (DOBC), Faculty of Medicine, University of Chile, Carlos Schachtebeck 299, Quinta Normal, Santiago, 8500000, Chile.
Valentina TorresLaboratory of Chemical Carcinogenesis and Pharmacogenetics, Department of Basic-Clinical Oncology (DOBC), Faculty of Medicine, University of Chile, Carlos Schachtebeck 299, Quinta Normal, Santiago, 8500000, Chile.ORCID 0009-0009-0645-6686
Luis A QuiñonesLaboratory of Chemical Carcinogenesis and Pharmacogenetics, Department of Basic-Clinical Oncology (DOBC), Faculty of Medicine, University of Chile, Carlos Schachtebeck 299, Quinta Normal, Santiago, 8500000, Chile. lquinoneuchile@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-7967-5320

Funding

Ministry of Education, Government of Chile | National Commission for Scientific and Technological Research | Fondo de Fomento al Desarrollo Científico y Tecnológico (FONDEF) IT2010003
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Cardiovascular diseases are the leading cause of death in Chile and worldwide, representing a major public health challenge that demands urgent preventive and therapeutic strategies. In atrial fibrillation, anticoagulation is essential, and in Chile acenocoumarol rather than warfarin, used in most countries, is the standard agent. Its dosing shows substantial interindividual variability due to CYP2C9 and VKORC1 polymorphisms. We developed a cohort-based Markov model to compare standard care, genotype-guided dosing, and genotype-guided dosing adjusted for population-level adherence in 123 Chilean patients with atrial fibrillation and 123 matched simulated individuals. Outcomes were measured as quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and direct medical costs, with cost-effectiveness assessed at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of US$17,093, estimated using the international approach of approximating the country's GDP per capita rather than a Chilean policy-based value. Genotype-guided dosing achieved the highest effectiveness (2938.34 QALYs) with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of US$436.86/QALY versus standard care, remaining cost-effective in sensitivity analyses up to test prices far exceeding the current US$190. The adherence-adjusted strategy was weakly dominated. These results strongly support implementing pharmacogenetic testing for acenocoumarol dosing to optimize anticoagulation safety, efficacy, and cost-effectiveness in Chile.

Indexed as

AcenocoumarolAnticoagulantsAtrial FibrillationAgedChileComputer SimulationCost-Benefit AnalysisCost-Effectiveness AnalysisCytochrome P-450 CYP2C9FemaleGenotypeHumansMaleMarkov ChainsMiddle AgedPharmacogeneticsAcenocoumarolAnticoagulantsCYP2C9 protein, humanCytochrome P-450 CYP2C9Vitamin K Epoxide ReductasesVKORC1 protein, human

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.