Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42008711›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2026

A millennium of cold-water coral habitat loss in the East Pacific during low ENSO variability in the mid- to late Holocene.

Joseph A Stewart, Laura F Robinson, Michelle L Taylor, Daniel J Fornari, Katleen Robert, Stuart Banks, Tianyu Chen, Tao Li, James Kershaw, Shannon Hoy and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Joseph A StewartSchool of Earth Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1RJ, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3092-5058
Laura F RobinsonSchool of Earth Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1RJ, United Kingdom.
Michelle L TaylorSchool of Life Sciences, University of Essex, Colchester CO4 3SQ, United Kingdom.
Daniel J FornariDepartment of Geology and Geophysics, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA 02543.ORCID 0000-0002-2121-9357
Katleen RobertFisheries and Marine Institute of Memorial University, St. John's, NL A1C 5R3, Canada.
Stuart BanksCharles Darwin Foundation, Puerto Ayora, Galápagos, Ecuador.
Tianyu ChenSchool of Earth Sciences and Engineering, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China.ORCID 0000-0002-3061-7170
Tao LiState Key Laboratory of Palaeobiology and Stratigraphy, Nanjing Institute of Geology and Palaeontology, Nanjing 210008, China.ORCID 0000-0002-9975-152X
James KershawSchool of Earth Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1RJ, United Kingdom.
Shannon HoySeirios Solutions, Brookfield, NH 03872.
Qian LiuSchool of Earth Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1RJ, United Kingdom.
Jessica D GordonSchool of Life Sciences, University of Essex, Colchester CO4 3SQ, United Kingdom.
Maria Luiza de Carvalho FerreiraSchool of Earth Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1RJ, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-3979-0711
Ana SamperizDepartment of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Science, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32310.ORCID 0000-0002-9553-1124
Yingchu ShenSchool of Earth Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1RJ, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-5852-9482
Yun-Ju SunSchool of Earth Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1RJ, United Kingdom.
Maoyu WangSchool of Earth Sciences and Engineering, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China.

Funding

NSF (NSF) NSF-OCE-MGG 1950959UKRI | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) NE/S001743/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The evolution of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) under past and future climate change and its influence on marine ecosystems is highly debated. To examine links between tropical climate variability, high-latitude feedbacks, and deep-sea ecosystems, we have analyzed over 900 subfossil cold-water scleractinian corals from the Galápagos Archipelago. U-Th dating shows that these corals have inhabited the region for at least 117,000 y, thriving at depths down to ~1,000 m. However, we find a millennial-scale gap in coral occurrence ~5,000 y ago, coinciding with reduced ENSO variability and a persistent La Niña-like state. Coral presence resumed as ENSO cyclicity strengthened again toward modern conditions. While shallow-water coral growth has been shown to generally decline in the equatorial Pacific during El Niño surface warming, the mid- to late Holocene loss of cold-water corals may reflect the opposite: prolonged La Niña-like conditions. We hypothesize that stronger upwelling at this time intensified the oxygen minimum zone, adversely affecting cold-water coral habitats. With ENSO projected to change under continued ocean warming, the potential vulnerability of cold-water corals to future climate change is a growing concern. This study underscores the value of understanding past ENSO behavior and its impact on deep-sea ecosystems in a warming world.

Indexed as

AnthozoaClimate ChangeEcosystemEl Nino-Southern OscillationAnimalsCold TemperatureFossilsPacific OceanSeawatercold-water coralsEl Niño–Southern OscillationGalápagosU-Th dating

Identifiers

PMID42008711
PMCPMC13142978

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.