ArticlemedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences2026
Pitfalls in estimating and interpreting the contribution of ultra-rare genetic variants to the heritability of complex traits.
Article in medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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12 authors.
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Abstract
Assessing the contribution of ultra-rare variants (minor allele frequency <0.01%) to the heritability of complex traits remains challenging due to limited understanding of potential biases. Here, we focus on singletons (that is, variants observed only once in the study sample), the most abundant class of ultra-rare variants, to showcase various confounders of heritability estimates and underline pitfalls in their interpretation. We show through theory, simulations, and analysis of 5,330,210 exome-sequenced singletons in 305,813 unrelated European-ancestry individuals in the UK Biobank that (i) population stratification induces both upward and downward biases in singleton-based heritability estimates (
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