Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42006361›Full record

ArticleiScience2026

Assessing sustained high-heat multi-hazard events through earth observation and impact chain analysis in southeast UK.

Erin Mills, Kay Smith, Annie Winson, Luke Bateson, Roxana Ciurean

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in iScience, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Erin MillsBritish Geological Survey, Lyell Centre, Research Avenue South, Edinburgh, UK.
Kay SmithBritish Geological Survey, Lyell Centre, Research Avenue South, Edinburgh, UK.
Annie WinsonBritish Geological Survey, Nicker Hill, Keyworth, Nottinghamshire, UK.
Luke BatesonBritish Geological Survey, Nicker Hill, Keyworth, Nottinghamshire, UK.
Roxana CiureanBritish Geological Survey, Nicker Hill, Keyworth, Nottinghamshire, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Sustained high-heat events are increasing in the UK, intensifying risks to health, infrastructure, ecosystems, and water resources. This study investigates whether earth observation (EO) data can identify environmental preconditioning factors and candidate thresholds that signal emerging multi-hazard conditions. Using the 2022 southeast UK heatwave, we analyze climate variables and EO-derived indicators-including land-surface temperature, soil moisture, vegetation stress, and ground motion-at regional and event-specific scales, supported by a hazard impact catalog. Impact-chain analysis reveals how heat, drought, vegetation stress, wildfires, flash flooding, and subsidence interact as compounding and cascading hazards. We find that soil-moisture deficits, elevated surface temperatures, and ground-motion anomalies frequently precede hazardous events, indicating their potential as early-warning signals. This multi-source synthesis provides a semi-automatable workflow and EO-based thresholds benchmarked against a multi-year baseline, offering broader value for monitoring and forecasting high-heat multi-hazard risks under accelerating climate change.

Indexed as

earth sciencesenvironmental monitoringenvironmental science

Identifiers

PMID42006361
PMCPMC13091469

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.