Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42005390›Full record

ArticlePatterns (New York, N.Y.)2026

UbiQTree: Uncertainty quantification in XAI with tree ensembles.

Akshat Dubey, Aleksandar Anžel, Bahar İlgen, Georges Hattab

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Patterns (New York, N.Y.), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Akshat DubeyCenter for Artificial Intelligence in Public Health Research (ZKI-PH), Robert Koch Institute, Nordufer 20, 13353 Berlin, Germany.
Aleksandar AnželCenter for Artificial Intelligence in Public Health Research (ZKI-PH), Robert Koch Institute, Nordufer 20, 13353 Berlin, Germany.
Bahar İlgenCenter for Artificial Intelligence in Public Health Research (ZKI-PH), Robert Koch Institute, Nordufer 20, 13353 Berlin, Germany.
Georges HattabCenter for Artificial Intelligence in Public Health Research (ZKI-PH), Robert Koch Institute, Nordufer 20, 13353 Berlin, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) techniques, particularly Shapley additive explanations (SHAP), are essential for interpreting ensemble tree-based models in critical areas such as healthcare. However, SHAP values are often treated as point estimates that neglect uncertainty originating from aleatoric (irreducible noise) and epistemic (lack of data) sources. This work introduces an approach that decomposes SHAP value uncertainty into aleatoric, epistemic, and entanglement components. This approach employs Dempster-Shafer evidence theory and Dirichlet process (DP) hypothesis sampling over tree ensembles. The use-case validation reveals insights into epistemic uncertainty within SHAP explanations, enhancing the reliability and interpretability of SHAP attributions. This informs robust decision-making and model refinement. Our findings suggest that reducing epistemic uncertainty requires improved data quality and model development techniques. Tree-based models, particularly bagging, are effective in quantifying such uncertainties.

Indexed as

ensemble machine learningevidence theoryexplainabilityhealthcaremachine learningrandom forestSHAPstatisticsuncertaintyXAI

Identifiers

PMID42005390
PMCPMC13083721

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.