Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42000803›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2026

Pertussis resurgence after the COVID-19 pandemic in four Western Pacific Countries and the USA, highlighting the 2025 outbreak in Japan.

Xin Ai, Hirotake Mori, Daria Krokva, Dmytro Remez, Yoshiro Hadano, Rapeephan R Maude, Marisa Blackley, Gautam A Deshpande, Toshio Naito

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Xin AiDepartment of General Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Juntendo University, 3-1-3 Hongo, Bunkyo-Ku, Tokyo, 113-8431, Japan.
Hirotake MoriDepartment of General Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Juntendo University, 3-1-3 Hongo, Bunkyo-Ku, Tokyo, 113-8431, Japan. h.mori.oa@juntendo.ac.jp.
Daria KrokvaDepartment of General Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Juntendo University, 3-1-3 Hongo, Bunkyo-Ku, Tokyo, 113-8431, Japan.
Dmytro RemezDepartment of General Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Juntendo University, 3-1-3 Hongo, Bunkyo-Ku, Tokyo, 113-8431, Japan.
Yoshiro HadanoDepartment of General Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Juntendo University, 3-1-3 Hongo, Bunkyo-Ku, Tokyo, 113-8431, Japan.
Rapeephan R MaudeDivision of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Ramathibodi Hospital, Bangkok, Thailand.
Marisa BlackleyDepartment of General Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Juntendo University, 3-1-3 Hongo, Bunkyo-Ku, Tokyo, 113-8431, Japan.
Gautam A DeshpandeDepartment of General Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Juntendo University, 3-1-3 Hongo, Bunkyo-Ku, Tokyo, 113-8431, Japan.
Toshio NaitoDepartment of General Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Juntendo University, 3-1-3 Hongo, Bunkyo-Ku, Tokyo, 113-8431, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Pertussis is a re-emerging, highly contagious respiratory disease posing a significant public health challenge globally. This retrospective study characterized the divergent pertussis resurgence after the coronavirus-disease-2019 (COVID-19) pandemic by analyzing national surveillance data from four countries of the Western Pacific region (Japan, Australia, New Zealand, China) and the United States of America, with a focus on characterizing the unique outbreak in Japan. A significant outbreak began relatively late in Japan in 2025; as of July 31, 2025 (a 7 month partial count, potentially underestimated), the country had recorded 60,826 cases (incidence rate 49.13/100,000 population), substantially exceeding the 4054 cases of the previous year. This surge stands in contrast to the earlier 2024 peaks and subsequent decreases in the other four study countries. All five countries experienced a significant increase in cases between the preventive measures phases of the COVID-19 (2020-2022) and the loosening of these measures (2023-2025) (p < 0.001). Japan's 2025 resurgence was characterized by high incidence among individuals aged 5-19 years, particularly adolescents (56.6% of cases), and concentrated in non-metropolitan prefectures. This resurgence, which may be linked to the lack of routine booster vaccinations, highlights the need to re-evaluate national immunization strategies to control the evolving threat of pertussis.

Indexed as

COVID-19Whooping CoughAdolescentAustraliaChildChild, PreschoolDisease OutbreaksFemaleHumansIncidenceInfantJapanMaleMiddle AgedNew ZealandPandemicsEpidemiologyJapanPertussisResurgenceVaccination

Identifiers

PMID42000803
PMCPMC13254374

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.