ArticleScientific reports2026
The impact of land use land cover (LULC) change and climate variability on infiltration/runoff evolution in the Dar Es Salaam coastal floodplain.
Article in Scientific reports, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
0 citing papers in PubMed.
No citing paper in PubMed yet.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Both groundwater and surface water are essential sources of freshwater worldwide. In urban and peri-urban areas of Sub-Saharan Africa, such as Dar es Salaam city (Tanzania), the scarcity of good quality surface water has led to a groundwater overexploitation in the coastal aquifer. This is due to the growing water demand driven by demographic and economic development of the city. The rapid and uncontrolled urban expansion, together with the increase of impermeable areas, have negative impacts on the aquifer recharge, water table decrease and runoff increase, causing higher risk of flooding, erosion and water shortage. This paper presents the separate assessments of land use land cover change (LULCC) and climate variability impacts on water budget in the study area, using remote sensing datasets, which have followed the evolution of Dar Es Salaam City during the period 2002-2022. The assessments show how rapid urbanization has increased runoff and reduced aquifer recharge, leading to flooding risks and groundwater degradation. In 20 years, within the hydrogeological basin, the aquifer lost 30% of the recharge water volume, on average. Climate variability has affected the specific annual recharge and runoff volumes, especially in the last decade, due to an important rainfall increase. This paper demonstrates that combining the analysis of LULCC and climate variability in catchment areas with geomorphological ones and hydrogeological water budget method can provide a thorough understanding of uncontrolled urban spread effects on water resources balance and support evidence based decision-making spatial planning and environmental management. The study is part of the WECOAdapt project (Water management through ECOhydrology for climate change ADAPTation) that focuses on the reduction of negative impacts on floods and droughts due to unsustainable urban development, aiming to reverse/reduce the degradation of water and land resources.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.