Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41998244›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2026

Input structure-driven instability and convergence in large language model clinical reasoning: a formative study using pediatric residency-level MCQs.

Vinson James, Catherine Caronia, Rajesh Savargaonkar

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Article in Scientific reports, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Vinson JamesDepartment of Pediatrics, Good Samaritan University Hospital, West Islip, NY, 11795, USA. dr.vinsonjames@gmail.com.
Catherine CaroniaDepartment of Pediatrics, Good Samaritan University Hospital, West Islip, NY, 11795, USA.
Rajesh SavargaonkarDepartment of Pediatrics, Good Samaritan University Hospital, West Islip, NY, 11795, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly incorporated into medical education and clinical learning environments. While prior studies have focused on model accuracy on licensing-style examinations, less attention has been paid to the stability and reproducibility of LLM clinical reasoning under varying input structures-an issue central to safe educational and clinical deployment. To examine how question delivery structure influences performance stability, inter-model variability, and reproducibility of clinical reasoning across multiple contemporary LLMs using pediatric residency-level multiple-choice questions (MCQs). A standardized, evidence-based prompt was used to generate advanced-level pediatric USMLE Step 2/3-style MCQs emphasizing diagnostic reasoning, management decisions, and ethical judgment. One hundred draft MCQs generated using a standardized LLM prompt were randomly selected and independently reviewed by three pediatric physicians for medical accuracy, clinical realism, subspecialty relevance, and adherence to USMLE formatting. Twenty three questions were excluded by unanimous consensus, yielding a validated set of 77 MCQs. Six publicly available LLMs (ChatGPT, DeepSeek AI, Gemini, Microsoft Copilot, Perplexity AI, and OpenEvidence; October-December 2025 versions) were evaluated under two delivery conditions: (1) simultaneous presentation of all questions and (2) sequential delivery in batches of ten. Accuracy and inter-model variability were compared using paired t-tests and one-way ANOVA. When all questions were presented simultaneously, model accuracy varied widely (38%-90%), with significant inter-model differences, indicating poor reproducibility. In contrast, batch delivery resulted in marked convergence of performance across models (83%-88%), with no statistically significant inter-model differences. Sequential delivery in batches of ten substantially reduced performance dispersion and instability across all evaluated systems. LLM clinical reasoning performance is highly sensitive to input structure. Reducing contextual load through structured batch delivery improves reproducibility and minimizes inter-model variability, independent of model architecture. These findings suggest that prompt structure-rather than model selection alone-is a critical determinant of reliable LLM behavior and should be explicitly considered in the design of AI-supported medical education and assessment systems. This should be explicitly considered in the design of AI-supported medical education and assessment systems, particularly when LLMs are used as formative learning tools or clinical reasoning aids. Clinical Trial Number. The protocol was reviewed by the Office of the IRB at Good Samaritan University Hospital and determined to be exempt.

Indexed as

Clinical ReasoningEducational MeasurementInternship and ResidencyPediatricsHumansLarge Language ModelsReproducibility of Results

Identifiers

PMID41998244
PMCPMC13246915

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.