Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41993849›Full record

ArticleGates open research2026

Cholera surveillance time series in Africa between 2010 and 2023.

Qulu Zheng, Rachel DePencier, Maya N Demby, Andrew S Azman, Elizabeth C Lee

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Gates open research, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Qulu ZhengJohns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Rachel DePencierJohns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Maya N DembyJohns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Andrew S AzmanJohns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Elizabeth C LeeJohns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.

Funding

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation INV-009125
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Cholera remains a significant public health challenge in Africa, where outbreaks routinely strain public health and healthcare systems. Cholera surveillance time series data could be used to inform the efficient distribution of resources like oral cholera vaccine (OCV) and emergency response personnel, spur research on the impacts of different cholera control activities, and investigate longer-term epidemiologic patterns in cholera dynamics in this region. However, public reporting of cholera surveillance data historically has been sporadic and often limited to outbreak periods, thus limiting the availability of these useful time series datasets. We sought to fill this gap by preparing, cleaning, and processing weekly consecutive time series and outbreak-specific time series from 2010 to 2023 for African countries from heterogeneous data contributed to a global cholera surveillance database. Methods: Cholera incidence data in Africa from 2010 to 2023 on suspected cases, confirmed cases, and deaths were compiled from public and non-public cholera surveillance from multiple sources, including ministries of health, World Health Organization, Médecins Sans Frontières, UNICEF, and other sources. Data were processed by aggregating daily records to weekly levels, averaging duplicate entries, filling gaps and surrounding weeks with zero cases, aligning epidemic weeks, adjusting population data, and removing identifying geographic information to preserve confidentiality as appropriate. Outbreaks were subsequently extracted using a systematic definition and summary statistics were produced by spatial scale and population density. Summary outbreak metrics were compared to previously published cholera outbreak datasets for data validation. Conclusions: The unified surveillance and outbreak datasets provide an extensive compilation of reported cholera activity in Africa from 2010 to 2023, serving as a valuable resource for long-term control planning and early warning systems. Public health researchers can also leverage these datasets to analyze outbreak dynamics, anticipate resource needs, and assess the theoretical impact of control strategies.

Indexed as

CholeraDisease OutbreaksPopulation SurveillanceAfricaCholera VaccinesHumansIncidenceCholera Vaccinescholeraoutbreakssurveillance

Identifiers

PMID41993849
PMCPMC13079947

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.