ArticleBMC public health2026
A dynamically consistent discrete-time model for monkeypox transmission with implications for quarantine policies.
Article in BMC public health, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
0 citing papers in PubMed.
No citing paper in PubMed yet.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Monkeypox is a zoonotic viral infection with significant public health implications. Since epidemiological data are typically reported in discrete time intervals and public health interventions are implemented at specific decision points, discrete-time models provide a natural and policy-relevant modeling framework. Although numerous mathematical models for Mpox have been developed using differential equations, discrete-time approaches remain relatively unexplored, despite their practical importance. In this study, we introduce a discrete-time framework for Mpox by constructing a nonstandard finite difference (NSFD) scheme that preserves the key dynamical properties of the corresponding continuous model. The preservation of positivity, boundedness, and equilibrium behavior is particularly important for decision-support models, as numerical artifacts may otherwise lead to misleading interpretations in applied health and policy contexts. The basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] is explicitly computed and shown to depend on the human and animal reproduction numbers, denoted by [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text], respectively. Three equilibrium states are identified, and both the local and global dynamics of the system around these equilibria are rigorously analyzed. It is demonstrated that the condition [Formula: see text] alone may not be sufficient to guarantee disease eradication. Furthermore, it is proven that the condition [Formula: see text] is sufficient for the persistence of the disease in both human and animal populations. A sensitivity analysis is also performed to quantify the impact of model parameters on disease transmission dynamics. This analysis provides a clear interpretation of how quarantine measures and contact-reduction strategies influence disease persistence in human and animal populations. Numerical simulations confirm the theoretical findings and provide a comparative assessment of the proposed NSFD scheme against standard methods such as Euler and Runge-Kutta. The time-step-independent nature of the proposed framework ensures robust numerical outcomes and provides a reliable tool for supporting evidence-based public health decision-making and the evaluation of quarantine-oriented intervention strategies.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.