Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41991652›Full record

ArticleCommunications biology2026

Contrasting phenological shifts in diurnal and nocturnal Lepidoptera under climate change.

Anders Forsman, Bafraw Karimi, Markus Franzén

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Communications biology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Anders ForsmanCenter for Ecology and Evolution in Microbial Model Systems, EEMiS, Department of Biology and Environmental Science, Linnaeus University, Kalmar, Sweden. Anders.Forsman@lnu.se.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-7618
Bafraw KarimiCenter for Ecology and Evolution in Microbial Model Systems, EEMiS, Department of Biology and Environmental Science, Linnaeus University, Kalmar, Sweden.
Markus FranzénCenter for Ecology and Evolution in Microbial Model Systems, EEMiS, Department of Biology and Environmental Science, Linnaeus University, Kalmar, Sweden.

Funding

Svenska Forskningsrådet Formas (Swedish Research Council Formas) Dnr. 2018-02846Svenska Forskningsrådet Formas (Swedish Research Council Formas) Dnr. 2021-02142
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Phenological shifts enable species to adjust the timing of life-history events to required resources. Climate change alters the spatiotemporal association between temperature and photoperiod, modifying the scope for temperature regulation. Here, we propose a model hypothesizing that dissimilar light requirements and constraints differently impact phenological responses in diurnal versus nocturnal ectotherms. Next, we investigate temporal shifts and latitudinal trends in phenology for 363 Lepidoptera species using 44 years of citizen science data. In agreement with model predictions, long-term shifts in the estimated onset, peak, termination, and duration of the flight period differed qualitatively between diurnal and nocturnal species, even after accounting for voltinism and overwintering stage, supporting that diel activity is a key regulator of phenology. Phenology showed intraspecific latitudinal trends, and the peak occurred later in the north in diurnal species but was independent of latitude in nocturnal species. These contrasting phenological shifts may impact community composition and ecosystem functioning.

Indexed as

Circadian RhythmClimate ChangeLepidopteraAnimalsEcosystemPhotoperiodSeasonsTemperature

Identifiers

PMID41991652
PMCPMC13087129

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.