Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41991533›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

Regional drying over the Western U.S. driven by enhanced atmospheric subsidence amid global moistening from 1980 to 2020.

Qinghua Ding, Tiffany Shaw, Hailan Wang, Ian Baxter, Jiang Zhu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Qinghua DingDepartment of Geography, and Earth Research Institute, University of California, Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, USA. qinghua@ucsb.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3634-0181
Tiffany ShawDepartment of the Geophysical Science, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0551-6810
Hailan WangNOAA/Climate Prediction Center, College Park, MD, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1041-0233
Ian BaxterDepartment of the Geophysical Science, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Jiang ZhuNSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0908-5130

Funding

NSF | Directorate for Geosciences (GEO) OPP 2246601United States Department of Commerce | NOAA | Climate Program Office (NOAA Climate Program Office) NA23OAR4310273
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

As the global climate has warmed anthropogenically over the past decades, the atmosphere across most of the globe has experienced significant moistening, except for a "moistening hole" (MH) -like change over the Western U.S. This regional anomaly since 1980 is at odds with the forced response of climate models to global warming in this region. Here, through analysis of a wide array of observations and water-tagging enabled simulations, we find that atmospheric forcing originating from the North Pacific contributes to the MH. A barotropic high-pressure circulation trend over the North Pacific, driven by observed sea surface temperature cooling in the tropical Eastern Pacific, enhances atmospheric sinking over the Western U.S. through equatorward cold air advection. This intensified atmospheric descent suppresses precipitation and weakens land-sourced evaporation, which are critical for replenishing atmospheric moisture in the region. We suggest that focusing on low-frequency changes of atmospheric vertical motion may offer insights into assessing and projecting climate stress and drought risks posed by long-term atmospheric moisture deficits in arid regions.

Identifiers

PMID41991533
PMCPMC13265801

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.