Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41990095›Full record

ArticlePLoS medicine2026

Cost-effectiveness of esketamine versus alternative treatment strategies for treatment-resistant depression in Hong Kong: A multi-armed modeling study.

Yifan Li, Vivien Kin Yi Chan, Mark Jit, Franco Wing Tak Cheng, Hei Hang Edmund Yiu, David Makram Bishai, Dawn Craig, Esther Wai Yin Chan, Sandra Sau Man Chan, Xue Li

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Treatment-resistant Depression in the Post-ketamine Era: Unmet Needs beyond Rapid Response.Clinical psychopharmacology and neuroscience : the official scientific journal of the Korean College of Neuropsychopharmacology · 2026
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Yifan LiDepartment of Medicine, School of Clinical Medicine, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0001-9822-3397
Vivien Kin Yi ChanCentre for Safe Medication Practice and Research, Department of Pharmacology and Pharmacy, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1124-0398
Mark JitSchool of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6658-8255
Franco Wing Tak ChengCentre for Safe Medication Practice and Research, Department of Pharmacology and Pharmacy, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7818-1575
Hei Hang Edmund YiuCentre for Safe Medication Practice and Research, Department of Pharmacology and Pharmacy, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
David Makram BishaiSchool of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Dawn CraigPopulation Health Sciences Institute, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5808-0096
Esther Wai Yin ChanCentre for Safe Medication Practice and Research, Department of Pharmacology and Pharmacy, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7602-9470
Sandra Sau Man ChanDepartment of Psychiatry, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Xue LiDepartment of Medicine, School of Clinical Medicine, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4836-7808

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTreatment-resistant depression (TRD), defined as failure to respond to at least two adequately administered antidepressant (AD) regimens, imposes major clinical and economic burdens. Esketamine nasal spray offers rapid antidepressant clinical effects, yet previous evaluations compared it only with unrealistic comparators such as AD monotherapy. This study assessed the cost-effectiveness of esketamine versus multiple alternative third-line strategies for TRD from the Hong Kong healthcare payer's perspective. METHODS AND

findingsA Markov cohort model simulated adults with TRD in Hong Kong over 5 years with 4-week cycles. The model compared esketamine plus AD with six alternative third-line treatment strategies: combination therapy (AD plus AD), augmentation therapy (AD plus antipsychotic or lithium), psychotherapy alone, psychotherapy plus AD, repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) plus AD, and electroconvulsive therapy (ECT) plus AD. Primary outcomes were quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) under a US$50,000/QALY willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses and scenario analyses were conducted, focusing on alternative esketamine dosing, delivery strategies, and comparisons with other treatment options to assess the robustness of the results. In base-case analysis, esketamine was not cost-effective versus augmentation, combination, psychotherapy, or psychotherapy plus AD with ICERs ranging from US$134,127 to US$312,750 per QALY but was more cost-effective than rTMS (dominated) and ECT (ICER: US$322,407/QALY). Combination therapy was the most cost-effective among all strategies evaluated. The main limitation of this study is the reliance on indirect comparisons and assumptions derived from heterogeneous clinical trial populations, which may not fully reflect real-world patient characteristics and treatment pathways.

conclusionsEsketamine appeared more cost-effective than rTMS and ECT, but not cost-effective compared with other commonly used third-line treatment strategies for TRD. These findings suggest that cost-effectiveness evidence may help inform more context-sensitive treatment sequencing strategies beyond conventional line-of-therapy frameworks. Policy approaches such as price negotiation, optimized service delivery, and alternative dosing strategies may improve the value of esketamine for TRD management.

Indexed as

Antidepressive AgentsDepressive Disorder, Treatment-ResistantKetamineAdultCombined Modality TherapyCost-Benefit AnalysisCost-Effectiveness AnalysisElectroconvulsive TherapyHong KongHumansMarkov ChainsPsychotherapyQuality-Adjusted Life YearsTranscranial Magnetic StimulationAntidepressive AgentsEsketamineKetamine

Identifiers

PMID41990095
PMCPMC13120699

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.