Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41981814›Full record

Observational studyRespirology (Carlton, Vic.)2026

Predicting Failure at Initiation of High-Flow Nasal Oxygen in Patients With COVID-19: Literature Review, Development and Internal Validation of a Prediction Model.

Daphne J T Sjauw, Matthijs L Janssen, Yasemin Türk, Carmen A T Reep, Leo Heunks, Sara J Baart, Evert-Jan Wils, Dutch HFNO study group, NORMO2 project group

Abstract readObservational StudyMulticenter StudyReview
In one paragraph

Observational study in Respirology (Carlton, Vic.), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Daphne J T SjauwDepartment of Intensive Care, Franciscus Gasthuis & Vlietland, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Matthijs L JanssenDepartment of Intensive Care, Franciscus Gasthuis & Vlietland, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Yasemin TürkDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, Franciscus Gasthuis & Vlietland, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Carmen A T ReepDepartment of Intensive Care, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Leo HeunksDepartment of Intensive Care, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, the Netherlands.
Sara J BaartDepartment of Biostatistics, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Evert-Jan WilsDepartment of Intensive Care, Franciscus Gasthuis & Vlietland, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2868-0920
Dutch HFNO study group
NORMO2 project group

Funding

ZonMw 10430102110007
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectiveHigh-Flow Nasal Oxygen (HFNO) can reduce the need for invasive mechanical ventilation in patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (AHRF) from viral pneumonias, like COVID-19. Early prediction of HFNO failure is useful for timely decision-making at HFNO initiation. This study aimed to develop a prediction model for HFNO failure using predictors available just prior to HFNO initiation in patients with COVID-19 AHRF and compare its performance to existing models.

methodsThis multicenter, prospective observational cohort study included hospitalized patients from 10 centers in the Netherlands between December 2020 and July 2021. Adults who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, had no treatment limitations, and initiated HFNO for hypoxemia were included. The primary outcome was HFNO failure, defined as the event of endotracheal intubation. Pre-defined candidate predictors were selected by multivariable logistic regression for prediction model development. Internal validation was conducted using bootstrapping.

resultsOut of 608 patients, 277 (46%) experienced HFNO failure. Independent predictors of HFNO failure included (odds ratio [95% CI]): age (1.02 [1.00-1.03]), urea (1.04 [1.00-1.08]), platelet count (0.94 [0.92-0.97]), respiratory rate (1.05 [1.02-1.08]), oxygen saturation (0.89 [0.84-0.94]), and FiO

conclusionsThis newly developed model, using variables available at HFNO initiation, effectively predicted HFNO failure in hospitalized hypoxemic patients due to COVID-19 pneumonia with good performance. REGISTRATION NUMBER CLINICAL TRIAL: Dutch Trial Registry: DTR, NL9067.

Indexed as

COVID-19HypoxiaOxygen Inhalation TherapyRespiratory InsufficiencyAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNetherlandsProspective StudiesSARS-CoV-2Treatment Failuregeneral Wardhigh‐flow nasal oxygenintensive care unitslogistic modelsnon‐invasive ventilationprediction modelSARS‐CoV‐2

Identifiers

PMID41981814
PMCPMC13432548

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.