Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41978672›Full record

ReviewCampbell systematic reviews2025

Reliability and Validity of Risk Assessment Tools for Violent Extremism: A Systematic Review.

Sébastien Brouillette-Alarie, Ghayda Hassan, Wynnpaul Varela, Emmanuel Danis, Sarah Ousman, Pablo Madriaza, Inga Lisa Pauls, Deniz Kilinc, David Pickup, Robert Pelzer and 2 more

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Campbell systematic reviews, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Sébastien Brouillette-AlarieÉcole de criminologie Université de Montréal Montreal Quebec Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7620-8786
Ghayda HassanDepartment of Psychology Université du Québec à Montréal Montreal Quebec Canada.
Wynnpaul VarelaDepartment of Psychology Université du Québec à Montréal Montreal Quebec Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0413-2265
Emmanuel DanisDepartment of Psychology Université du Québec à Montréal Montreal Quebec Canada.
Sarah OusmanDepartment of Psychology Université du Québec à Montréal Montreal Quebec Canada.
Pablo MadriazaDepartment of Psychoeducation and Social Work Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières Trois-Rivières Quebec Canada.
Inga Lisa PaulsDepartment of Psychology Philipps-Universität Marburg Marburg Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9415-2176
Deniz KilincDepartment of Psychology Université du Québec à Montréal Montreal Quebec Canada.
David PickupCenter for the Study of Learning and Performance Concordia University Montreal Quebec Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5213-1238
Robert PelzerZentrum Technik Und Gesellschaft Technische Universität Berlin Berlin Germany.
Eugene BorokhovskiCenter for the Study of Learning and Performance Concordia University Montreal Quebec Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5615-0417
CPN‐PREV team

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Assessment of the risk of engaging in a violent radicalization/extremism trajectory has evolved quickly in the last 10 years. Guided by what has been achieved in psychology and criminology, scholars from the field of preventing violent extremism (PVE) have tried to import key lessons from violence risk assessment and management, while bearing in mind the idiosyncrasies of their particular field. However, risk tools that have been developed in the PVE space are relatively recent, and questions remain as to their level of psychometric validation. Namely, do these tools consistently and accurately assess risk of violent extremist acting out? To answer this question, we systematically reviewed evidence on the reliability and validity of violent extremism risk tools. The main objective of this review was to gather, critically appraise, and synthesize evidence regarding the appropriateness and utility of such tools, as validated with specific populations and contexts. Searches covered studies published up to December 31, 2021. They were performed in English and German across 17 databases, 45 repositories, Google, other literature reviews on violent extremism risk assessment, and references of included studies. Studies in all languages were eligible for inclusion in the review. We included studies with primary data resulting from the quantitative examination of the reliability and validity of tools used to assess the risk of violent extremism. Only tools usable by practitioners and intended to assess an individual's risk were eligible. We did not impose any restrictions on study design, type, method, or population. We followed standard methodological procedures outlined by the Campbell Collaboration for data extraction and analysis. Risk of bias was assessed using a modified version of the COSMIN checklist, and data were synthesized through meta-analysis when possible. Otherwise, narrative synthesis was used to aggregate the results. Among the 10,859 records found, 19 manuscripts comprising 20 eligible studies were included in the review. These studies focused on the Terrorist Radicalization Assessment Protocol (TRAP-18), the Extremism Risk Guidance Factors (ERG22+), the Multi-Level Guidelines (MLG-V2), the Identifying Vulnerable People guidance (IVP guidance), and the Violent Extremism Risk Assessment (VERA)-all structured professional judgment tools-as well as

Indexed as

ERG22+MLG‐V2reliabilityrisk assessmentsystematic reviewTRAP‐18validityVERAviolent extremismviolent radicalization

Identifiers

PMID41978672
PMCPMC12682207

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.