Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41975041›Full record

SynthesisBritish journal of cancer2026

Gut microbiota-associated predictors as biomarkers of neoadjuvant treatment response in rectal cancer-a systematic review.

Astghik Stepanyan, Andromachi Kotsafti, Antonio Rosato, Ignazio Castagliuolo, Marco Scarpa, Melania Scarpa, IMMUNOREACT Study Group

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in British journal of cancer, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Astghik StepanyanGeneral Surgery Unit 3, Azienda Ospedale Università Padova, Padova, Italy.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0002-0323-0955
Andromachi KotsaftiImmunology and Molecular Oncology Diagnostics, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV - IRCCS, Padua, Italy.
Antonio RosatoImmunology and Molecular Oncology Diagnostics, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV - IRCCS, Padua, Italy.
Ignazio CastagliuoloDepartment of Molecular Medicine, University of Padova, Padova, Italy.
Marco Scarpa *General Surgery Unit 3, Azienda Ospedale Università Padova, Padova, Italy. marco.scarpa@aopd.veneto.it.
Melania Scarpa *Immunology and Molecular Oncology Diagnostics, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV - IRCCS, Padua, Italy. melania.scarpa@iov.veneto.it.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7055-635X
IMMUNOREACT Study Group

Funding

Associazione Italiana per la Ricerca sul Cancro (Italian Association for Cancer Research) IG 2019 - ID. 23381
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe gut microbiome is increasingly recognized as a modulator of cancer therapy outcomes and a potential predictive biomarker. This systematic review synthesizes current evidence on microbial biomarkers associated with neoadjuvant treatment (NT) response in rectal cancer (RC).

methodsPubMed, Embase, and Ovid Medline databases were searched through March 2025. Eligible studies included RC patients treated with NT with baseline microbial analysis stratified by treatment response. Two reviewers independently performed screening, data extraction, and quality assessment (NIH and STORMS tools). Due to substantial heterogeneity, a structured qualitative synthesis without meta-analysis was conducted following SWiM guidelines, using a direction-of-effect vote-counting approach.

resultsSixteen observational studies (842 patients) were included, covering chemoradiotherapy (nCRT), total neoadjuvant therapy, chemotherapy, and immunochemoradiotherapy. Microbiota composition was investigated by 16S rRNA sequencing, metagenomics, or metatranscriptomics on fecal or tissue samples. While microbial diversity showed inconsistent associations, specific taxa -notably Bacteroides, Fusobacterium and Akkermansia- emerged as recurrent biomarkers of poor response to nCRT. Twelve predictive models reported AUROC values from 0.73 to 0.97, with limited external validation.

conclusionsSpecific microbial taxa show a consistent association with nCRT resistance across independent cohorts. However, methodological heterogeneity and limited reproducibility warrant standardized prospective validation before clinical implementation. PROSPERO: CRD42023433704.

Indexed as

Biomarkers, TumorGastrointestinal MicrobiomeNeoadjuvant TherapyRectal NeoplasmsHumansTreatment OutcomeBiomarkers, Tumor

Identifiers

PMID41975041
PMCPMC13270179

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.