Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41968390›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of cancer2026

Age at First Pregnancy, Adult Weight Gain and Postmenopausal Breast Cancer Risk: The PROCAS Study (United Kingdom).

Lee Malcomson, Adam Brentnall, Andrew G Renehan, Mary Pegington, Elaine F Harkness, Jake Southworth, D Gareth Evans, Michelle Harvie

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of cancer, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Lee MalcomsonDivision of Cancer Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8237-5329
Adam BrentnallWolfson Institute of Population Health, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6327-4357
Andrew G RenehanDivision of Cancer Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Mary PegingtonDivision of Cancer Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Elaine F HarknessNightingale Breast Screening Centre & the Prevent Breast Cancer Research Unit, Manchester University NHS FT, Manchester, UK.
Jake SouthworthNightingale Breast Screening Centre & the Prevent Breast Cancer Research Unit, Manchester University NHS FT, Manchester, UK.
D Gareth EvansNightingale Breast Screening Centre & the Prevent Breast Cancer Research Unit, Manchester University NHS FT, Manchester, UK.
Michelle HarvieDivision of Cancer Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.

Funding

Manchester Biomedical Research Centre NIHR203308
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Adult weight gain (AWG) increases postmenopausal breast cancer risk, whereas an early first pregnancy (FP) is protective. As pregnancy is a key contributor to weight gain, we investigated a potential interaction effect between these two factors on BC risk. We analysed prospective data from 48,417 women in the Predicting Risk of Breast Cancer at Screening (PROCAS) cohort (recruited 2009-2015). A Cox proportional hazards model was used to test for an interaction between first pregnancy age and weight gain on breast cancer risk. After a median follow-up of 6.4 years, 1702 incident breast cancers were identified. Compared to women with an early FP (< 30 years) and stable weight (≤ 5%), risk was highest among those with substantial AWG (> 30%) combined with a late FP (≥ 30 years) (HR: 2.48, 95% CI: 1.82-3.37) or nulliparity (HR: 2.38, 95% CI: 1.74-3.27). Elevated risk was observed even with moderate weight gain (5%-15%). A non-significant positive trend toward an additive interaction was observed for late FP (Relative Excess Risk due to Interaction (RERI): 0.32), whereas the risk in nulliparous women appeared independent of weight gain (RERI: -0.05). Maintaining a stable adult weight and an early first pregnancy are independently associated with a lower breast cancer risk. However, adult weight gain remains a significant risk factor regardless of reproductive history. The combination of high weight gain and late or no pregnancy identifies a high-risk group who could be prioritized for weight-management interventions in cancer prevention settings.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsMaternal AgePostmenopauseWeight GainAdultAge FactorsFemaleHumansMiddle AgedParityPregnancyProportional Hazards ModelsProspective StudiesRisk FactorsUnited Kingdomage at first pregnancybreast cancerparityweight gain

Identifiers

PMID41968390
PMCPMC13340970

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.