Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41966177›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of health policy and management2025

Assessing the Economic Benefit of Mass COVID-19 Vaccination Program in Iran: A Real-World Modeling Study.

Hamidreza Jamaati, Saeed Karimi, Yunes Panahi, Shahnam Arshi, Maryam Hajimoradi, Fatemeh Sadat Hosseini-Baharanchi, Fariba Ghorbani, Seyed Mohsen Zahraei, Fatemeh Nouri, Ali Akbari Sari and 19 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of health policy and management, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

29 authors.

Hamidreza JamaatiChronic Respiratory Disease Research Center, National Research Institute of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Science, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0009-0005-0422-6087
Saeed KarimiDepartment of Ophthalmology, Torfeh Medical Center, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0002-3231-8414
Yunes PanahiChemical Injuries Research Center, Baqiyatallah University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Shahnam ArshiCenter for Communicable Disease Control, Ministry of Health and Medical Education, Tehran, Iran.
Maryam HajimoradiLung Transplantation Research Center, National Research Institute of Tuberculosis and Lung Diseases (NRITLD), Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0001-5147-3770
Fatemeh Sadat Hosseini-BaharanchiDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0003-1633-2635
Fariba GhorbaniTracheal Diseases Research Center, National Research Institute of Tuberculosis and Lung Diseases (NRITLD), Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0002-2090-204X
Seyed Mohsen ZahraeiCenter for Communicable Disease Control, Ministry of Health and Medical Education, Tehran, Iran.
Fatemeh NouriLung Transplantation Research Center, National Research Institute of Tuberculosis and Lung Diseases (NRITLD), Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0001-7271-0202
Ali Akbari SariDepartment of Health Management, Policy and Economics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0002-6933-4071
Mahshad GoharimehrDepartment of Health Management, Policy and Economics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0002-2898-8765
Abdolreza MohamadniaChronic Respiratory Disease Research Center, National Research Institute of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Science, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0001-9662-7462
Payam TabarsiClinical Tuberculosis and Epidemiology Research Center, National Research Institute for Tuberculosis and Lung Disease (NRITLD), Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0002-8932-5420
Farzaneh DastanChronic Respiratory Disease Research Center, National Research Institute of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Science, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0001-7253-4333
Babak Sharif-KashaniDepartment of Cardiology, Lung Transplantation Research Center, National Research Institute of Tuberculosis and Lung Diseases (NRITLD), Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0002-3400-489X
Majid MarjaniClinical Tuberculosis and Epidemiology Research Center, National Research Institute for Tuberculosis and Lung Disease (NRITLD), Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0003-1466-8645
Farin Rashid FarokhiChronic Kidney Disease Research Center, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0002-6816-8753
Seyed Mohammad Reza HashemianChronic Respiratory Disease Research Center, National Research Institute of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Science, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0002-0768-9168
Mostafa NoorizadehDepartment of Pharmaceutical Biotechnology, Faculty of Pharmacy, Bulent Ecevit University, Zonguldak, Turkey.
Mojtaba NouhiHealth Economic Department, School of Medicine, Shahed University, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0002-4466-8403
Katayoun TayeriCenter for Communicable Disease Control, Ministry of Health and Medical Education, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0001-7153-1691
Sima NooraliLung Transplantation Research Center, National Research Institute of Tuberculosis and Lung Diseases (NRITLD), Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0001-7584-509X
Farnaz AhmadiLung Transplantation Research Center, National Research Institute of Tuberculosis and Lung Diseases (NRITLD), Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0009-0002-0713-0441
Makan SadrVirology Research Center, National Research Institute of Tuberculosis and Lung Diseases (NRITLD), Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0002-8781-8176
Azadeh MoradkhaniChronic Respiratory Disease Research Center, National Research Institute of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Science, Tehran, Iran.
Mahdi AhmadiniaLung Transplantation Research Center, National Research Institute of Tuberculosis and Lung Diseases (NRITLD), Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Bahamin AstaniLung Transplantation Research Center, National Research Institute of Tuberculosis and Lung Diseases (NRITLD), Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Rajabali DaroudiDepartment of Health Management, Policy and Economics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0002-0487-4114
Shadi ShafaghiLung Transplantation Research Center, National Research Institute of Tuberculosis and Lung Diseases (NRITLD), Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0002-9960-8854

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe global challenges posed by COVID-19 vaccinations require careful consideration by decision-makers at both the global and national levels, particularly in developing countries. This study aimed to evaluate the health and economic implications of implementing vaccination programs.

methodsTwo scenarios, one involving vaccination and the other without, were analyzed using the Markov susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) model. For the vaccination scenario, real-world data, such as age-specific vaccination coverage, hospitalization rates, and mortality, were obtained from the Medical Care Monitoring Center (MCMC) and national COVID-19 registry during the Omicron wave in Iran. For the counterfactual non-vaccination scenario, we relied on model-based assumptions using published literature and expert input to estimate infection rates and clinical outcomes in the absence of vaccination. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of the COVID-19 vaccination program was calculated by comparing the incremental cost per unit of quality-adjusted life year (QALY) generated to a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold equivalent to 1 time the gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, approximately US$4091. One-way sensitivity analysis was conducted to ensure the reliability of the results.

resultsOverall, 2 098 495 extra QALYs were generated by vaccination, incurring a total extra cost of $853.78 million. The vaccination program resulted in an average of 0.035 incremental QALYs at an additional cost of $14.08 per person. The average ICER for adult vaccination was $406.85 per QALY, indicating that it is a highly cost-effective strategy compared to non-vaccination across all age groups. Vaccinating elderly individuals proved to be the most cost-effective approach among all age categories.

conclusionThe integrated Markov-SIR model used in this study provides valuable insights into both the health and economic impact of the COVID-19 vaccination program in Iran. These findings support the implementation of vaccination strategies and provide a framework for decision-makers to consider when formulating policies.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesImmunization ProgramsMass VaccinationAdultCost-Benefit AnalysisCost-Effectiveness AnalysisHumansIranMarkov ChainsMiddle AgedQuality-Adjusted Life YearsCOVID-19 VaccinesCost-EffectivenessCOVID-19 VaccinationEconomic EvaluationICERIranQALY

Identifiers

PMID41966177
PMCPMC12958171

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.