Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41965668›Full record

ArticleMovement ecology2026

Warming temperatures increase close encounters between two top predator species via changes in spatial behaviour.

Kasim Rafiq, Anna C Nisi, Neil R Jordan, Krystyna A Golabek, J W McNutt, Alan Wilson, Laura Prugh, Dikatholo Kedikilwe, Briana Abrahms

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Movement ecology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Kasim RafiqCenter for Ecosystem Sentinels, Department of Biology, University of Washington, Seattle, USA. kasim.rafiq@hotmail.co.uk.
Anna C NisiCenter for Ecosystem Sentinels, Department of Biology, University of Washington, Seattle, USA.
Neil R JordanBotswana Predator Conservation, Wild Entrust, Maun, Botswana.
Krystyna A GolabekBotswana Predator Conservation, Wild Entrust, Maun, Botswana.
J W McNuttBotswana Predator Conservation, Wild Entrust, Maun, Botswana.
Alan WilsonStructure & Motion Lab, Royal Veterinary College, London, UK.
Laura PrughSchool of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, USA.
Dikatholo KedikilweBotswana Predator Conservation, Wild Entrust, Maun, Botswana.
Briana AbrahmsCenter for Ecosystem Sentinels, Department of Biology, University of Washington, Seattle, USA.

Funding

Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council EP/H013016/1The Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BB/J018007/1The European Research Council 323041
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Effectively responding to changing environmental and ecological conditions, such as changing climatic conditions, is crucial for individual survival, population dynamics, and ecosystem structuring. Yet it is often unclear to what extent climate-mediated behavioural adjustments impact potential interspecific dynamics within upper trophic levels, particularly within top predator guilds, such as large mammalian carnivores, and to what extent such environmentally mediated plasticity shapes encounters among top predators. We used the African large predator guild, one of the last remaining functionally intact large predator assemblages, to investigate the impacts of ambient temperature on spatial behaviour and close encounters amongst top predators. Using high-resolution GPS data collected over eight years (2011–2018) from 43 individuals across lions (Panthera leo), cheetahs (Acinonyx jubatus), and African wild dogs (Lycaon pictus), we found one of the first empirical examples of changes in close encounters, herein encounters, between top predator species due to temperature variability. The probability of encounters increased under warming temperatures between cheetahs and lions, with encounters 6.6 times more likely following hot (90th percentile) days, compared to median temperature days. Moreover, we found that these responses paralleled changes in habitat selection and spatial overlap between the species rather than with reductions in temporal partitioning. Interestingly, despite functional similarities between cheetahs and African wild dogs, we found no evidence that African wild dog and lion encounter probabilities, nor spatial overlap, changed as a function of temperature, suggesting that species-specific differences in competitor risk sensitivity may buffer African wild dogs from temperature-driven shifts in competition. Our results provide empirical evidence linking climate variability to changes in close encounters among top predators and highlight how temperature-driven behavioural shifts may alter spatial and temporal relationships between species.

Indexed as

African wild dogsBio-loggingCheetahsCompetitionGPS collarsHabitat selectionInterspecific encountersLarge predatorsLionsSpace useTemperature

Identifiers

PMID41965668
PMCPMC13182089

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.