Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41964650›Full record

SynthesisInternational journal of epidemiology2026

Quantifying within-household tuberculosis transmission: a systematic review and prospective cohort study.

Chuan-Chin Huang, Alicia E Madden, Mercedes C Becerra, Roger Calderon, Alexander L Chu, Carmen Contreras, Judith Jimenez, Leonid Lecca, Rosa Yataco, Qi Tan and 3 more

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in International journal of epidemiology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Chuan-Chin HuangDivision of Global Health Equity, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, United States.
Alicia E MaddenDepartment of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, United States.
Mercedes C BecerraDepartment of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, United States.
Roger CalderonFacultad de Medicina Humana, Universidad de San Martín de Porres, Lima, Peru.
Alexander L ChuDivision of Global Health Equity, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-1799-127X
Carmen ContrerasPartners In Health-Socios En Salud Sucursal Peru, Lima, Peru.
Judith JimenezPartners In Health-Socios En Salud Sucursal Peru, Lima, Peru.ORCID 0000-0001-7633-8401
Leonid LeccaDepartment of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-1363-3985
Rosa YatacoPartners In Health-Socios En Salud Sucursal Peru, Lima, Peru.
Qi TanDepartment of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, United States.
Zibiao ZhangDivision of Global Health Equity, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, United States.
Elena JaureguiDepartment of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States.
Megan B MurrayDivision of Global Health Equity, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, United States.

Funding

Sequencing CoreU19AI109755 · NIAID · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI CHANDLER, DARRELL P, CULHANE, AEDIN C · 2014 to 2018
$29.1M
Metabolomics Core U19AI111224 · NIAID · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI MURRAY, MEGAN B, VANRHIJN, ILDIKO · 2015 to 2021
$20.4M
Gerome Wide Association Study of Bacterial Determinants of Clinical Response in TuberculosisU19AI142793 · NIAID · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI FORTUNE, SARAH · 2019 to 2023
$14.6M
Real-time surveillance to support dynamic and predictive models of MDR/XDR TBU19AI076217 · NIAID · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI FARMER, PAUL EDWARD · 2007 to 2011
$13.5M
Epidemiology of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in PeruU01AI057786 · NIAID · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI BECERRA, MERCEDES C · 2009 to 2010
$1.2M
National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases at the National Institutes of HealthNIAID NIH HHS U01 AI057786NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI076217NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI109755NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI111224NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI142793
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHousehold-based studies are commonly used to investigate tuberculosis (TB) transmission and evaluate preventive interventions. These studies typically assume that household contacts (HHCs) who develop TB disease were infected by the identified index patient. However, community-acquired infections may challenge this assumption, potentially biasing findings. Here, we evaluated the proportion of genetically linked index-HHC pairs and examined whether this proportion varied based on the TB burden in the community.

methodsWe conducted a prospective cohort study in Lima, Peru, enrolling microbiologically confirmed pulmonary TB index patients and their HHCs who were followed for 1 year. Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) isolates from culture-positive index patients and HHCs underwent whole-genome sequencing (WGS). We defined index-HHC patient pairs as resulting from within-household transmission when the genetic distance between their Mtb isolates was ≤12 single nucleotide polymorphisms. To contextualize our findings, we conducted a systematic review of Mtb genotyping studies that used spoligotyping, restriction fragment length polymorphisms , mycobacterial interspersed repetitive units-variable number tandem repeats, or WGS to assess within-household TB infection transmission among index-HHC patient pairs.

resultsIn our Lima study, among 175 index-HHC patient pairs, 109 (62%) were classified as within-household transmission. The systematic review identified 22 qualifying studies from settings with TB burdens ranging from 6.7 to 845 cases per 100 000 person-years. Studies in settings with TB incidence of ≤250 per 100 000 person-years consistently reported linkage proportions of ≥61%, whereas high-burden settings exhibited greater variability.

conclusionsOur findings suggest that, among individuals exposed to TB at home, within-household transmission predominates in moderate- or low-TB-burden settings. However, its relative contribution in high-incidence settings remains unclear.

Indexed as

Family CharacteristicsMycobacterium tuberculosisTuberculosis, PulmonaryAdultCommunity-Acquired InfectionsFemaleGenotypeHumansMalePeruPolymorphism, Single NucleotideProspective StudiesWhole Genome Sequencinggenotypinghouseholdhousehold transmissionMIRU–VNTRRFLPspoligotypingsystematic reviewtuberculosiswhole-genome sequencing

Identifiers

PMID41964650
PMCPMC13366474

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.