SynthesisMovement disorders : official journal of the Movement Disorder Society2026
Prognosis in Parkinson's Disease: An Individual Patient Data Meta-Analysis of Six European Incidence Cohorts.
Synthesis in Movement disorders : official journal of the Movement Disorder Society, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
1 citing paper in PubMed.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
13 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundAn accurate understanding of prognosis in Parkinson's disease (PD) is important for patient information provision, personalized treatment, and clinical trial design, but most previous research has been biased towards younger, healthier patients.
objectivesTo describe key clinical outcomes longitudinally and identify baseline prognostic factors (predictors) for these outcomes using population-representative PD cohorts.
methodsWe meta-analyzed individual patient data from six incidence cohorts in Western Europe (Norway, Sweden, and UK). Each cohort aimed to recruit and follow up all newly diagnosed cases in defined population/incidence periods (between 2000 and 2011). We described postural instability (Hoehn & Yahr Stage 3), functional dependency (needing help with daily activities), dementia, and death with up to 12 years' follow-up and investigated clinical and genetic predictors using frailty Cox models.
resultsIn 883 population-based incident patients, median age at motor symptom onset was 69.2 years. Median time to postural instability and functional dependency was 7.4 years. Dementia affected 49.6% by 10 years and 54.7% had died by 12 years (median survival 9.4 years). Older age, higher Movement Disorder Society-Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale-Part III (MDS-UPDRS-III) score, and lower Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) were significantly associated with all outcomes; cognitive symptoms and GBA polymorphisms with each outcome except mortality; and APOE ε4 with increased mortality and dementia.
conclusionsThis first individual patient data meta-analysis of population-based incidence cohorts provides robust prognostic data, with fewer selection biases than previous PD studies, for informing people with PD about prognosis. In incidence cohorts, overall PD prognosis is worse than previously suggested, with key outcomes often occurring early. Further work should develop validated prognostic models for objective stratification of prognostic risk and for personalized medicine. © 2026 The Author(s). Movement Disorders published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.