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ArticleOsteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA2026

Adjusting fracture probability according to duration of diabetes: the Manitoba BMD Registry.

William D Leslie, Didier Hans, Helena Johansson, Eugene V McCloskey, Nicholas C Harvey, John A Kanis

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Article in Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

William D LeslieDepartment of Medicine, University of Manitoba, C5121, 409 Tache Avenue, Winnipeg, MB, R2H 2A6, Canada. bleslie@sbgh.mb.ca.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1056-1691
Didier HansBone and Joint Department, Lausanne University Hospital, Lausanne, Switzerland.
Helena JohanssonSahlgrenska Osteoporosis Centre, Institute of Medicine, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Eugene V McCloskeyCentre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, UK.
Nicholas C HarveyMRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
John A KanisCentre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We studied the use of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) as an input to FRAX® and trabecular bone score (TBS) to modify FRAX-based probability in individuals with diabetes. Our results help to inform the use of FRAX and FRAXplus in patients with diabetes.

backgroundDiabetes confers increased risk for fracture independently from FRAX-estimated fracture probability. PURPOSE: To compare the relative performance of the rheumatoid arthritis (RA) input and trabecular bone score (TBS) adjustment, alone or in combination, to capture FRAX-independent risk associated with diabetes.

methodsWe analyzed data on 54,609 individuals from the Manitoba Bone Density Program aged ≥ 40 years with FRAX-based probability and TBS measurements (mean age 63.8 years, 89.9% female) including 5274 (9.7%) with diabetes. Incident major osteoporotic fracture (MOF, 5723, 10.5%) and hip fractures (1715, 3.1%) were ascertained during mean 9.6 years observation from population-based healthcare data. The effect of diabetes on fracture outcomes was modeled without (Cox regression) and with competing mortality (Fine-Gray regression), adjusted for FRAX-based probability before and after RA input and TBS adjustment.

resultsFor MOF prediction in those with diabetes duration less than 5 years, no FRAX adjustment was required. For those with duration 5-10 years, FRAX adjusted with TBS was slightly better than the unadjusted FRAX output. For those with diabetes duration greater than 10 years, the larger effect from RA was beneficial, with or without TBS. In contrast, hip fracture risk was consistently greater regardless of diabetes duration and required the use of TBS, with or without RA.

conclusionDiabetes was associated with incident MOF and hip fracture independent of baseline fracture probability, but this risk was partially offset by excess mortality. TBS adjustment and RA input showed complementary benefits for improving fracture prediction that differed according to diabetes duration and fracture outcome.

Indexed as

Diabetes MellitusOsteoporotic FracturesAbsorptiometry, PhotonAdultAgedArthritis, RheumatoidBone DensityCancellous BoneFemaleHip FracturesHumansIncidenceMaleManitobaMiddle AgedOsteoporosisdiabetesdual-energy x-ray absorptiometryfracture predictionFRAXosteoporosistrabecular bone score

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.