Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41958837›Full record

ArticleProceedings of machine learning research2025

Stabilized Inverse Probability Weighting via Isotonic Calibration.

Lars van der Laan, Ziming Lin, Marco Carone, Alex Luedtke

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of machine learning research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Lars van der LaanDepartment of Statistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA.
Ziming LinDepartment of Statistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA.
Marco CaroneDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA.
Alex LuedtkeDepartment of Statistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA.

Funding

Statistical Methods for Incorporating Machine Learning Tools in Inference and Large-Scale Surveillance using Electronic Medical Records DataR01HL137808 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI CARONE, MARCO · 2019 to 2023
$2.4M
High-Resolution Inference for Correlates of Vaccine ProtectionDP2LM013340 · NLM · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI LUEDTKE, ALEX · 2019 to 2019
$2.3M
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL137808NLM NIH HHS DP2 LM013340
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Inverse weighting with an estimated propensity score is widely used by estimation methods in causal inference to adjust for confounding bias. However, directly inverting propensity score estimates can lead to instability, bias, and excessive variability due to large inverse weights, especially when treatment overlap is limited. In this work, we propose a post-hoc calibration algorithm for inverse propensity weights that generates well-calibrated, stabilized weights from user-supplied, cross-fitted propensity score estimates. Our approach employs a variant of isotonic regression with a loss function specifically tailored to the inverse propensity weights. Through theoretical analysis and empirical studies, we demonstrate that isotonic calibration improves the performance of doubly robust estimators of the average treatment effect.

Indexed as

balancingcalibrationinverse probability weightingisotonic regressionpropensity

Identifiers

PMID41958837
PMCPMC13061341

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.