Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41955202›Full record

ArticlePloS one2026

Development and evaluation of a multimodal feature-based predictive model for radiotherapy-induced oral mucositis in nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

Ling Li, Linke Li, Ruifeng Guo, Shiting Fang, Ke Wang, Ge Yuan, Danxian Jiang, Jing Huang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Ling LiDepartment of Radiotherapy, Affiliated Hospital of Guangdong Medical University, Zhanjiang, Guangdong, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0005-0323-0180
Linke LiSchool of Medical Imaging, Laboratory and Rehabilitation, Xiangnan University, Chenzhou, Hunan, China.
Ruifeng GuoDepartment of Radiotherapy, Affiliated Hospital of Guangdong Medical University, Zhanjiang, Guangdong, China.
Shiting FangDepartment of Radiotherapy, Affiliated Hospital of Guangdong Medical University, Zhanjiang, Guangdong, China.
Ke WangDepartment of Radiotherapy, Affiliated Hospital of Guangdong Medical University, Zhanjiang, Guangdong, China.
Ge YuanDepartment of Radiotherapy, Affiliated Hospital of Guangdong Medical University, Zhanjiang, Guangdong, China.
Danxian JiangDepartment of Radiotherapy, Affiliated Hospital of Guangdong Medical University, Zhanjiang, Guangdong, China.
Jing HuangDepartment of Head and Neck Oncology, Affiliated Hospital of Guangdong Medical University, Zhanjiang, Guangdong, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9820-7648

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccurate prediction of radiation-induced oral mucositis is crucial for personalized treatment in head and neck cancer. However, developing robust predictive models utilizing high-dimensional multimodal data (CT imaging, dose distribution, and clinical features) remains challenging, particularly in cohorts with limited sample sizes.

objectiveThis study aimed to rigorously evaluate and compare the multi-class predictive performance of traditional machine learning algorithms and deep learning architectures under a small-cohort setting.

methodsMultimodal data from 108 patients were collected. A comprehensive evaluation framework incorporating nine traditional machine learning algorithms and two deep learning models (a dimensionality-reduced 1D-CNN and a multimodal 3D-CNN) was established. To ensure robust evaluation, a stratified 5-fold cross-validation was employed. Model performance was comprehensively quantified using mean ± standard deviation (SD) across multiple metrics, including the Area Under the Curve (AUC), accuracy, and Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC).

resultsInter-rater reliability for RIOM grading was excellent (Cohen's kappa = 0.82, 95% CI: 0.73-0.91). Among traditional machine learning approaches, the Extra Trees (ET) algorithm achieved the highest discriminative capacity (AUC: 0.956 ± 0.046), while Logistic Regression (LR) demonstrated optimal overall accuracy (0.832 ± 0.155) and stability. Regarding deep learning, the lightweight 1D-CNN utilizing fused low-dimensional features exhibited highly competitive and robust performance (AUC: 0.900 ± 0.072; Accuracy: 0.732 ± 0.140). In stark contrast, the high-dimensional multimodal 3D-CNN suffered from severe overfitting and mode collapse phenomenon, yielding significantly inferior results (AUC: 0.568 ± 0.090; MCC: -0.025 ± 0.031).

conclusionsFor small-cohort radiomics and dosimetric analyses, ensemble learning models (e.g., ET) and appropriately regularized linear models (e.g., LR) remain highly effective. While deep learning holds promise, high-dimensional architectures like 3D-CNNs are highly susceptible to mode collapse without massive datasets. Instead, employing feature dimensionality reduction combined with lightweight networks (1D-CNN) is a vastly superior strategy to extract reliable predictive patterns from limited clinical data.

Indexed as

Nasopharyngeal CarcinomaNasopharyngeal NeoplasmsRadiation InjuriesRadiotherapyStomatitisAlgorithmsConvolutional Neural NetworksDeep LearningFemaleHumansMachine LearningMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Learning ModelsReproducibility of ResultsTomography, X-Ray Computed

Identifiers

PMID41955202
PMCPMC13065032

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.