Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41953710›Full record

ArticleMethods in ecology and evolution2026

e3SIM: Epidemiological-ecological-evolutionary simulation framework for genomic epidemiology.

Peiyu Xu, Shenni Liang, Andrew Hahn, Vivian Zhao, Wai Tung 'Jack' Lo, Benjamin C Haller, Benjamin Sobkowiak, Melanie H Chitwood, Caroline Colijn, Ted Cohen and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Methods in ecology and evolution, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Gaussian Process Emulation for Exploring Complex Infectious Disease Models.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Peiyu XuDepartment of Molecular Biology & Genetics, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, USA.
Shenni LiangDepartment of Computer Science, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, USA.
Andrew HahnDepartment of Computer Science, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, USA.
Vivian ZhaoDepartment of Computer Science, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, USA.
Wai Tung 'Jack' LoDepartment of Computational Biology, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, USA.
Benjamin C HallerDepartment of Computational Biology, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, USA.
Benjamin SobkowiakDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Disease, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Melanie H ChitwoodDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Disease, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Caroline ColijnDepartment of Mathematics, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada.
Ted CohenDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Disease, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Kyu Y RheeDepartment of Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, New York, USA.
Philipp W MesserDepartment of Computational Biology, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, USA.
Martin T WellsDepartment of Statistics and Data Science, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, USA.
Andrew G ClarkDepartment of Molecular Biology & Genetics, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, USA.
Jaehee KimDepartment of Computational Biology, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5210-2004

Funding

Transmission Aerobiology of M. tuberculosis: Genes and Metabolic Pathways That Sustain Mtb Across an Evolutionary BottleneckP01AI159402 · NIAID · WEILL MEDICAL COLL OF CORNELL UNIV · PI NATHAN, CARL FRANCIS, RHEE, KYU Y · 2021 to 2025
$15.8M
Scaling up computational genomics with tree sequencesR01HG012473 · NHGRI · UNIVERSITY OF OREGON · PI PETER Lochhead RALPH · 2023 to 2026
$2.3M
Population genetics of rapid evolutionary processesR35GM152242 · NIGMS · CORNELL UNIVERSITY · PI Philipp W Messer · 2024 to 2026
$1.2M
Tree-based population genetics methods for genetic epidemiologyR35GM156957 · NIGMS · CORNELL UNIVERSITY · PI Jaehee Kim · 2025 to 2026
$712k
NHGRI NIH HHS R01 HG012473NIAID NIH HHS P01 AI159402NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM152242NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM156957
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Infectious disease dynamics result from the complex interplay of epidemiological, ecological and evolutionary (epi-eco-evo) processes. Accurately modelling these coupled processes is crucial for understanding pathogen spread and informing public health strategies. However, existing genomic epidemiology simulators typically assume conditional independence among these processes: generating transmission trees independently of pathogen evolution, and then superimposing neutral mutations onto fixed genealogies without ecological feedback. This simplification fails to capture how pathogen evolution dynamically reshapes epidemic trajectories.We introduce e3SIM, an open-source, agent-based, forward-time simulator for macOS and Linux that explicitly integrates pathogen transmission dynamics, molecular evolution and environmental factors. e3SIM incorporates configurable compartmental models, user-defined host contact networks, customizable pathogen genetic architectures and optional eco-evolutionary features (e.g. within-host dynamics, multi-strain infections). This integration enables realistic modelling of pathogen spread and evolution. Key features include modularity, flexible epidemiological and population-genetic modelling, time-varying environmental factors and a user-friendly graphical interface.We demonstrated e3SIM's capabilities by simulating SARS-CoV-2 and

Indexed as

agent-based simulationepi-eco-evo couplinggenetic epidemiologyphylodynamicspopulation genetics

Identifiers

PMID41953710
PMCPMC13055929

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.