Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41952018›Full record

ArticleCarbon balance and management2026

Do carbon policy shocks move stocks? evidence from China's carbon market.

Jiachao Peng, Yuxin Zeng, Shuke Fu, Jiali Tian

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Carbon balance and management, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Jiachao PengSchool of Law and Business, Wuhan Institute of Technology, Wuhan, 430205, China.
Yuxin ZengSchool of Law and Business, Wuhan Institute of Technology, Wuhan, 430205, China.
Shuke FuSchool of Law and Business, Wuhan Institute of Technology, Wuhan, 430205, China.
Jiali TianSchool of Law and Business, Wuhan Institute of Technology, Wuhan, 430205, China. tjl@wit.edu.cn.

Funding

National Natrual Science Foundation of China 72303174
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

As carbon policies expand under net zero goals, policy news in carbon markets can send fast signals for equity prices. Using daily data for more than 1,600 listed firms from July 2021 to December 2025, we build carbon policy shocks from carbon price moves on 12 national ETS release days and estimate their link to stock returns. Carbon price changes on release days have a much stronger link to stock returns than changes on other days. Channel tests suggest the response is tied to shifts in short-run risk conditions and changes in trading conditions around release days. The effect is stronger when the carbon market is more mature and more active, and it differs by ETS coverage status, policy type and firm carbon exposure. The findings show how transition risk is priced in China and inform ETS communication and market depth.

Indexed as

Carbon policy surpriseCarbon pricesChina’s national ETSStock returnsTransition risk pricing

Identifiers

PMID41952018
PMCPMC13262435

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.