Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41951938›Full record

ArticleHepatology international2026

Noninvasive risk stratification of liver nodule development in Fontan-associated liver disease using liver stiffness measurement.

Takuma Nakatsuka, Tamaki Kobayashi, Ryosuke Tateishi, Yui Ozawa, Katsura Soma, Hiroyuki Tokiwa, Akihito Saito, Takuma Kaneko, Keisuke Mabuchi, Yuki Matsushita and 17 more

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Article in Hepatology international, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

27 authors.

Takuma Nakatsuka *Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan. tnakatsuka-tky@umin.ac.jp.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5727-5385
Tamaki Kobayashi *Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Ryosuke TateishiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Yui OzawaDepartment of Pediatrics, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Katsura SomaDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Hiroyuki TokiwaDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Akihito SaitoDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Takuma KanekoDepartment of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Keisuke MabuchiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Yuki MatsushitaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Tomoharu YamadaDepartment of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Kazuya OkushinDepartment of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Tatsuya MinamiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Masaya SatoDepartment of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Yotaro KudoDepartment of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Momoe EndoDepartment of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Yuki IkedaDepartment of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Makiko KuriharaDepartment of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Mamiko SatoDepartment of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Hiroaki GotohDepartment of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Tomomi IwaiDepartment of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Takayuki TsujimotoDepartment of Pathology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Akihiko FukagawaDepartment of Pathology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Tetsuo UshikuDepartment of Pathology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Makoto KuranoDepartment of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Ryo InuzukaDepartment of Pediatrics, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Mitsuhiro FujishiroDepartment of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.

Funding

Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development JP25fk0210130Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development JP25fk0210137Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development JP25fk0210149Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development JP25fk0210177Japan Society for the Promotion of Science 23K07411Japan Society for the Promotion of Science 24K11064Japan Society for the Promotion of Science 24K11083Japan Society for the Promotion of Science 24K11106Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare 23HC2001National Center for Global Health and Medicine 20A2015National Center for Global Health and Medicine 22A2001National Center for Global Health and Medicine 30-shi-2001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionFontan-associated liver disease (FALD) is a progressive congestive hepatopathy that often leads to cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Liver nodules are common in FALD; however, noninvasive predictors remain understudied. This study aimed to determine the prevalence and risk factors for liver nodule development in patients with Fontan circulation.

methodsThis prospective single-center cohort study enrolled 198 post-Fontan patients (median age 17.3 years; median time since Fontan surgery 14.0 years) who underwent abdominal ultrasound and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by transient elastography between January 2015 and June 2025. Cross-sectional analysis assessed baseline predictors of liver nodules. A longitudinal subset (n = 112) was followed for a mean of 3.8 years to identify predictors of liver nodule development.

resultsAbnormal ultrasonographic findings were detected in 90% of patients, with a higher frequency in those ≥ 10 years post-Fontan. Liver nodules (≥ 1 cm) were present at baseline in 8.6% of patients. In cross-sectional multivariable analysis, only LSM remained significantly associated with liver nodules (adjusted odds ratio per 1 kPa: 1.06, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.12). During longitudinal follow-up, 10 patients developed liver nodules. Higher LSM (adjusted hazard ratio per 1 kPa: 1.10, 95% CI 1.02-1.18) and heterotaxy (adjusted hazard ratio: 9.21, 95% CI 2.50-33.97) independently predicted liver nodule development. Restricted cubic spline analysis demonstrated a monotonic increase in liver nodule risk with increasing LSM.

conclusionsThis is the first prospective study demonstrating that elevated LSM predicts liver nodule development after Fontan surgery. LSM represents a practical, noninvasive tool for risk stratification in FALD.

Indexed as

Focal nodular hyperplasia (FNH)-like lesionFontan-associated liver disease (FALD)Hepatic congestionHepatocellular carcinomaLiver fibrosisLiver noduleLiver stiffness measurement

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.