Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41947066›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2026

UNAIDS 95-95-95 targets in older people living with HIV in urban and rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.

Etheldreda I Y Madela, Celia L Gregson, Farhanah Paruk, Anya J Burton, Rita Patel, Hannah Wilson, Fundile Habana, Anthony M Manyara, Bavumile Mbanjwa, Lucy Gates and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

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No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Etheldreda I Y MadelaDepartment of Geriatrics, University of KwaZulu-Natal, KwaZulu- Natal, Durban, South Africa. MadelaE@ukzn.ac.za.
Celia L GregsonGlobal Health and Ageing Research Unit, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Farhanah ParukDivision of Internal Medicine, University of KwaZulu-Natal, KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.
Anya J BurtonGlobal Health and Ageing Research Unit, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Rita PatelMusculoskeletal Research Unit, Translational Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Hannah WilsonGlobal Health and Ageing Research Unit, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Fundile HabanaDepartment of Geriatrics, University of KwaZulu-Natal, KwaZulu- Natal, Durban, South Africa.
Anthony M ManyaraGlobal Health and Ageing Research Unit, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Bavumile MbanjwaDepartment of Rheumatology, University of KwaZulu-Natal, KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.
Lucy GatesMRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, England, UK.
Camille M PearseMRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, England, UK.
Chris GrundyMRC International Statistics and Epidemiology Group, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Kate A WardMRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, England, UK.
Bilkish CassimDepartment of Geriatrics, University of KwaZulu-Natal, KwaZulu- Natal, Durban, South Africa.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/W003961/1National Institute for Health and Care Research NIHR302394Wellcome Trust 217135/Z/19/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundData describing HIV prevalence, ART use and virological suppression, in older adults in urban or rural South Africa, are limited. We aimed to address this evidence gap.

methodsIn a population-based cross-sectional study, using age- and sex-stratified random sampling of adults aged ≥ 40 years, a researcher-administered questionnaire collected socio-demographic, and clinical data (03/2022-04/2024). HIV was confirmed using two point-of-care tests (discrepancies resolved by ELISA). The age- and sex-specific study prevalence was applied to the KwaZulu Natal (KZN) province population structure to provide an illustrative projection of HIV prevalence in KZN. Achievement of UNAIDS 95-95-95 targets was calculated in 10-year age bands. People living with HIV (PLHIV) were categorised as virologically suppressed (< 50copies/mL) vs. unsuppressed, and younger (40-49years) vs. older (≥ 50years). Logistic regression determined associations with HIV and virological suppression.

results1,916 adults were recruited; 713 (37.2%) living with HIV, 36.7% men and 37.7% women. HIV prevalence was 68.1% among 40-49-year-olds, 49.4% among 50-59-year-olds, 26.0% among 60-69-year-olds and 9.8% age ≥ 70 years. In older adults (≥ 50 years), the prevalence was 27.9%. The overall projected standardised HIV prevalence in adults ≥ 40 years in KZN was 47.4% (44.8% men; 49.3% women). In our sample, 98% of PLHIV were aware of their status, 97.6% on ART, and 77.7% virologically suppressed. Men ≥ 70 years achieved highest virological suppression (88.2%). Overall, being female vs. male (57.8% vs. 42.2%; OR 1.6 [95%CI 1.1, 2.4]; p = 0.008), having HIV ≥ 3 years vs. < 3 years (62.2% vs. 55.1%; OR 3.0 [95%CI 1.6, 5.7]; p = 0.001), rural vs. urban living (50.9% vs. 49.1%; OR 1.5 [95%CI 1.0, 2.1]; p = 0.044) were associated with virological suppression. Older PLHIV (≥ 50years) vs. younger (40-49years) reported hypertension (51.0% vs. 30.0%), diabetes (10.0% vs. 5.0%), and polypharmacy (≥ 5 drugs) (13.2% vs. 6.3%).

conclusionIn KZN, the overall study prevalence of HIV in adults age ≥ 50 years was 27.9% in both urban and rural populations, the UNAIDS 95-95-95 targets were met for known status and being on treatment, but not virological suppression.

Indexed as

HIV InfectionsAdultAgedAge FactorsAnti-HIV AgentsCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceRural PopulationSouth AfricaUrban PopulationViral LoadAnti-HIV AgentsHIVOlder personsSouth AfricaUNAIDS 95-95-95 targetsViral load

Identifiers

PMID41947066
PMCPMC13188679

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