Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41939925›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease2026

Construction and Validation of a Prediction Model for Sustained Smoking Cessation in Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

Huimin Tong, Zheng Tian, Nan Zhang, Xinyi Liu, Hongyi Zhu, Liwei Jing, Lan Wang

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Trial
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Huimin TongDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Tianjin Fourth Central Hospital, Tianjin, 300000, People's Republic of China.
Zheng TianSchool of Nursing, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0000-0002-4400-7445
Nan ZhangDepartment of Ophthalmology, Peking University People's Hospital, Beijing, 100044, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0000-0002-1253-2173
Xinyi LiuSchool of Nursing, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, 300070, People's Republic of China.
Hongyi ZhuSchool of Nursing, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, 300070, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0009-0008-4196-0426
Liwei JingSchool of Nursing, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, People's Republic of China.
Lan WangSchool of Nursing, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, 300070, People's Republic of China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: To identify factors associated with smoking relapse or non-attempt within one year in COPD patients and to develop a predictive model for early identification of high-risk individuals to guide targeted interventions. Methods: Based on the health ecology model, a questionnaire integrating factors affecting smoking cessation was developed. We enrolled 221 COPD patients from a tertiary hospital in Tianjin and categorized them into smoking cessation success or failure groups. Mann-Whitney Results: Among 221 patients, 92 successfully quit smoking and 129 failed. Multivariate analysis identified age (OR = 0.922, P < 0.001), GOLD grade (OR = 0.257, P < 0.001), and death anxiety score (OR = 0.930, P = 0.001) as protective factors against cessation failure, while depression score (OR = 1.107, P < 0.001) and quit-smoking partner complaints score (OR = 1.075, P < 0.001) were risk factors. The prediction model demonstrated good discrimination (C-index = 0.876) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow test P = 0.350). DCA and CIC confirmed the model's clinical utility. Conclusion: Younger age, mild/moderate GOLD grade, higher depression score, lower death anxiety, and higher partner complaints increase the risk of smoking cessation failure in COPD patients. The developed model facilitates early identification of high-risk patients for targeted intervention to improve quit rates.

Indexed as

Decision Support TechniquesLungNomogramsPulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveSmokingSmoking CessationAgedAge FactorsChinaChi-Square DistributionDepressionFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle Agedchronic obstructive pulmonary diseasenomogramprediction modelsmoking cessation

Identifiers

PMID41939925
PMCPMC13047708

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.