Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41939729›Full record

ArticleLancet regional health. Americas2026

Jennifer R Head, Andrew F Brouwer, Arundhati Rajan, Marlena Scherer, Monica Williams, John Balmes, George R Thompson, Neil M Ampel, Kimberley D Lucas

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Lancet regional health. Americas, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Jennifer R HeadDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Andrew F BrouwerDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Arundhati RajanDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Marlena SchererCalifornia Correctional Health Care Services, Public Health Services, Elk Grove, CA, USA.
Monica WilliamsCalifornia Correctional Health Care Services, North Kern State Prison, Nursing Services, Delano, CA, USA.
John BalmesDivision of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.
George R ThompsonDepartment of Internal Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases and the Department of Medical Microbiology and Immunology, University of California Davis Medical Center, Sacramento, CA, USA.
Neil M AmpelCollege of Medicine, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA.
Kimberley D LucasCalifornia Correctional Health Care Services, Public Health Services, Elk Grove, CA, USA.

Funding

Modelled estimation of population immunity for coccidioidomycosis and the role of immunologically naïve populations in the shifting epidemiology of coccidioidomycosis in CaliforniaK01AI173529 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Jennifer Head · 2023 to 2026
$478k
NIAID NIH HHS K01 AI173529
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The incidence of coccidioidomycosis-an emerging fungal infection-is high within California state prisons. In 2015, California began offering a Methods: We fit catalytic models to skin test data from 154,450 males aged 18 to 64 years incarcerated in California state prisons between January 11, 2015, and September 15, 2024. Findings: Estimated test sensitivity was 48.8% (95% confidence interval (CI): 45.1-52.6%). Low sensitivity was attributed to waning reactivity, estimated at 5.3% (95% credible interval (CrI): 4.3, 6.3%) loss in reactivity per year since infection. We estimated a prevalence of prior infection among males from the hyperendemic Kern County of 17.9% (95% CrI: 12.1, 26.0) at 18 years and 94.7% (95% CrI: 89.8, 97.4) by 65 years, and an annual average FOI in Kern County of 54.8 new infections per 1000 susceptible males (95% CrI: 41.6, 70.0). Regions outside the highly endemic area demonstrated lower, but non-negligible, prevalences of prior infection; prior infection prevalence among San Francisco Bay Area male residents reached 16.9% (95% CrI: 13.3, 21.2) by age 65. Interpretation: These findings update our understanding of population immunity to coccidioidomycosis among California males entering prison and inform disease risk in this high-risk population. Funding: NIHNIAID K01AI173529.

Indexed as

CoccidioidomycosisImmunityIncarceratedPrior infectionSkin testSpherulinValley fever

Identifiers

PMID41939729
PMCPMC13050033

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.