Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41938838›Full record

ArticleEClinicalMedicine2026

Trajectory of weight regain after cessation of GLP-1 receptor agonists: a systematic review and nonlinear meta-regression.

Brajan Budini, Steven Luo, Martin Tam, Isabel Stead, Andrew Lee, Angelica Akrami, Antonio Vidal-Puig, Adrian Park

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EClinicalMedicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Hemoglobin AJMIR formative research · 2026
    Observational
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  9. Article
  10. Review
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  12. Article
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  14. Obesity, metabolic health status, and adverse outcomes in men and women.American journal of preventive cardiology · 2026
    Article
  15. Review
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Injectable drugs for weight management.Australian prescriber · 2025
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Brajan BudiniSchool of Clinical Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Steven LuoSchool of Clinical Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Martin TamSchool of Clinical Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Isabel SteadSchool of Clinical Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Andrew LeeSchool of Clinical Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Angelica AkramiSchool of Clinical Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Antonio Vidal-PuigCentro de Investigación Príncipe Felipe, CIBERDEM, Valencia, Spain.
Adrian ParkAddenbrooke's Hospital, NIHR Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre, Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Cambridge, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) have emerged as breakthrough agents for weight loss. However, discontinuation is common, and clinical trials have demonstrated significant weight regain following cessation. In this systematic review, we aimed to characterise the trajectory of weight regain after GLP-1RA cessation. Methods: This systematic review and meta-regression analysis followed Cochrane and PRISMA guidelines. We searched MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Library, Scopus and Web of Science from inception to August 28, 2025 for randomised controlled trials (RCTs), non-randomised interventional studies and observational studies reporting weight outcomes after cessation of GLP-1RAs in adults with overweight or obesity. Weight regain was the primary outcome and was modelled using nonlinear regression. Secondary, exploratory outcomes included HbA1c and systolic blood pressure. The study protocol is registered with PROSPERO (CRD420250631751). Findings: A total of 48 relevant studies were included. Weight consistently rebounded after cessation of GLP-1RAs. Six RCTs with 3236 participants were included in the nonlinear meta-regression, which utilised a mixed-effect exponential recovery model with random effects applied to the rate constant. At 1 year post-cessation, 60% of the weight lost during treatment was regained. Beyond 52 weeks, weight trajectories were extrapolated, with weight regain estimated to plateau at 75.3% (95% CI 68.9-81.6) of the weight lost on treatment. The rate constant was 0.0302 per week (95% CI 0.0202-0.0401), corresponding to a half-life of 23.0 weeks (95% CI 17.3-34.3). Most studies were assessed to have a moderate risk of bias. Interpretation: GLP-1RA cessation is associated with a predictable and decelerating pattern of weight regain, which appears to plateau below pre-treatment levels, suggesting that partial weight-loss benefit may persist long-term but is substantially attenuated. Funding: None.

Indexed as

Anti-obesity pharmacotherapyGLP-1RAsMeta-regressionObesityTreatment discontinuationWeight regain

Identifiers

PMID41938838
PMCPMC13043475

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.