Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41938206›Full record

ArticleEvolution letters2026

The nature and prevalence of diversification rate shifts across the Tree of Life.

Bjørn T Kopperud, Alessio Capobianco, John T Clarke, Luis Palazzesi, Sebastian Höhna

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Evolution letters, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Bjørn T KopperudGeoBio-Center LMU, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Munich, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7360-7087
Alessio CapobiancoGeoBio-Center LMU, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Munich, Germany.
John T ClarkeGeoBio-Center LMU, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Munich, Germany.
Luis PalazzesiDepartment of Palaeobotany, Museo Argentino de Ciencias Naturales & Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET), Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Sebastian HöhnaGeoBio-Center LMU, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Munich, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6519-6292

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Strong disparity in species richness among organisms is well documented, but heterogeneity in the underlying diversification process is less understood. Using novel probabilistic methods, we investigate clade-specific diversification rate shifts in several species-rich phylogenies, together representing over 300,000 species across the Tree of Life. We find that diversification rate shifts are extremely prevalent across all clades, with more frequent changes in younger clades and an overall excess of upshifts, resulting in an apparent acceleration of net diversification rates. We also reveal that heterogeneity in diversification rates is related to the tempo of diversification itself. While we find support for more prevalent shifts in speciation rates than extinction rates and more upshifts than downshifts, this is partially due to data insufficiency and inference challenges. Our insights are fundamentally enabled by studying numerous large phylogenies with rigorous statistical methods, showing widespread prevalence of diversification rate shifts across the Tree of Life.

Indexed as

birth–deathdiversificationextinctionmacroevolutionrate shiftspeciation

Identifiers

PMID41938206
PMCPMC13043920

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.