Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41936045›Full record

ArticleAge and ageing2026

Trajectories of frailty, grip strength and gait speed preceding dementia: a nested case-control study.

Zimu Wu, Aung Zaw Zaw Phyo, Lachlan Cribb, Swarna Vishwanath, Suzanne G Orchard, Alice Owen, Robyn Woods, Trevor T-J Chong, Rory Wolfe, Raj C Shah and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Age and ageing, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Zimu WuMonash University, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Aung Zaw Zaw PhyoMonash University, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-8834-4072
Lachlan CribbMonash University, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Swarna VishwanathMonash University, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Suzanne G OrchardMonash University, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Alice OwenMonash University, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-4807-6069
Robyn WoodsMonash University, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-1249-6149
Trevor T-J ChongMonash University, Turner Institute for Brain and Mental Health, Clayton, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-7764-3811
Rory WolfeMonash University, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-2126-1045
Raj C ShahDepartment of Family and Preventive Medicine and Rush Alzheimer's Disease Center, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, Illinois, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9706-9730
Kerry SheetsGeriatric Medicine Division, Department of Medicine, Hennepin Healthcare, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3492-2404
Anne MurrayBerman Center for Outcomes and Clinical Research, Hennepin Healthcare Research Institute, Minneapolis, Minnesota 55415, USA.
Joanne RyanMonash University, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-7039-6325

Funding

ASPirin in Reducing Events in the ElderlyU01AG029824 · NIA · HENNEPIN HEALTHCARE RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI MCNEIL, JOHN JAMES, MURRAY, ANNE M · 2009 to 2018
$64.6M
Main Administrative CoreU19AG062682 · NIA · HENNEPIN HEALTHCARE RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI CHAN, ANDREW T, MCNEIL, JOHN JAMES · 2019 to 2023
$42.9M
National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) of Australia 1,127,060National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) of Australia 2,016,438National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) of Australia 334,047National Health and Medical Research Council Research Leadership InvestigatorNational Institute on Ageing and the National Cancer Institute at the National Institutes of Health U01AG029824National Institute on Ageing and the National Cancer Institute at the National Institutes of Health U19AG062682NIA NIH HHS U01 AG029824NIA NIH HHS U19 AG062682
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundFunctional decline may be an early indicator of dementia. This study examined the trajectories of frailty, grip strength, and gait speed over the 11 years prior to dementia, compared to matched individuals without dementia.

methodsA total of 1092 dementia cases were matched on age, sex and education to 4368 controls from a cohort of community-dwelling older adults recruited in Australia and the USA, aged 65 years or above at recruitment. Frailty was characterised by a deficit-accumulation index involving 67 items. Hand grip strength and gait speed were measured regularly by physical examination. Linear mixed-effects models estimated the backward trajectories of frailty, grip strength and gait speed before dementia, compared to controls. Secondary analyses were stratified by sex and ApoE ε4 carrier status.

resultsHigher frailty burden, with a steeper increase over time, was found in the years before dementia, compared to controls (P-interaction < .001). Hand grip strength and gait speed declined more rapidly in dementia cases than in controls (P-interaction < .001 for both). Differences between cases and controls became consistently significant four to six years prior to dementia (P-contrast < .001). An earlier divergence across all three measures was observed for females, and to a lesser extent in ApoE ε4 non-carriers. DISCUSSION: Functional decline occurs within the decade before dementia onset, with gait speed being the earliest indicator. These findings support the utility of functional measures as early markers of dementia risk, with potential implications for targeted monitoring and preventative strategies.

Indexed as

AgingDementiaFrail ElderlyFrailtyHand StrengthWalking SpeedAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsAustraliaCase-Control StudiesDisease ProgressionFemaleGeriatric AssessmentHumansMaledementiafrailtygait speedgrip strengtholder peoplephysical function

Identifiers

PMID41936045
PMCPMC13070003

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.