Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41926737›Full record

SynthesisThe oncologist2026

Pivotal studies of pharmacotherapies approved by the US FDA for cancer treatment: a meta-analysis.

Ronald Chow, James H B Im, Camilla Zimmermann, Georgia C Richards, Carl Heneghan

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in The oncologist, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Ronald ChowCentre for Evidence-Based Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6GG, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-6195-8624
James H B ImFaculty of Medicine & Dentistry, University of Alberta, Edmonton, T6G 2R7, Canada.
Camilla ZimmermannDepartment of Supportive Care, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, M5G 2M9, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-4889-0244
Georgia C RichardsDepartment of Analytical, Environmental and Forensic Sciences, Institute of Pharmaceutical Sciences, School of Cancer & Pharmaceutical Sciences, Faculty of Life Sciences & Medicine, King's College London, London, SE1 9NH, United Kingdom.
Carl HeneghanCentre for Evidence-Based Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6GG, United Kingdom.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis study aimed to examine the number of FDA-approved cancer pharmacotherapies and analyse pivotal study characteristics over time, including sample sizes.

methodsWe developed a web scraper to collate a cohort of FDA-approved cancer pharmacotherapies from 1953 until 31 December 2024. For each pharmacotherapy, details of pivotal studies leading to approval were recorded, including protocol and final sample size, study design, therapy type, and quality assessment using Cochrane Risk of Bias tools. We used regression analyses and discretization to identify trends in sample size. Type I error was set at 0.05.(Study protocol pre-registration: https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/KVA23).

resultsWe identified 255 pharmacotherapies, supported by 306 pivotal studies; 125 (49%) were targeted pharmacotherapies, 61 (24%) chemotherapies, 47 (18%) immunotherapies, 21 (8%) hormonal therapies, and 1 (0.4%) other. The median sample size was 290 (IQR = 427); sample sizes increased in the 1990s (median = 407) and remained stable thereafter. Stratified analysis demonstrated smaller sample sizes for phase 1 and 2 studies before 1980, with no change in phase 3 studies. For 165 studies reporting protocol sample sizes, studies from 2020-2024 (median = 147.5) were smaller than those from 2010-2019 (median = 320).

conclusionsThe increase in sample sizes during the 1990s may reflect new policies and legislation. Subsequent stability in sample size could be due to modern trial designs (eg, basket/umbrella studies, surrogate endpoints) that require smaller sample sizes. The recent decrease in protocol sample sizes may herald a similar decline for future studies but requires post-market surveillance to verify credibility.

Indexed as

Antineoplastic AgentsDrug ApprovalNeoplasmsHumansUnited StatesUnited States Food and Drug AdministrationAntineoplastic Agentscancerpivotal trialssample

Identifiers

PMID41926737
PMCPMC13099410

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.