Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41923191›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2026

A mathematical model examining the role of self-treated individuals in the geographical spread of COVID-19.

Daniel Ugochukwu Nnaji, Walter Okongo, Boubacar Diallo, Nnaemeka Stanley Aguegboh

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Daniel Ugochukwu NnajiDepartment of Mathematics, Pan African University, Institute for Basic Science, Technology and Innovation (PAUSTI), Nairobi, Kenya.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0007-0873-2109
Walter OkongoDepartment of Research and Innovation, National Council for Higher Education, Kigode Road, Kampala, 76, Kampala, Uganda. okongowalter121@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4859-2247
Boubacar DialloDepartment of Mathematics, Pan African University, Institute for Basic Science, Technology and Innovation (PAUSTI), Nairobi, Kenya.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0009-1374-1960
Nnaemeka Stanley AguegbohDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, Veritas University Abuja, Bwari, 901101, Nigeria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6985-0706

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study examines a spatio-temporal mathematical model that explores the role of self-medicating individuals in the spread of COVID-19. The model consists of a system of equations representing four population groups: susceptible, infected, self-treated, and recovered. It conceptualizes disease transmission as a physical diffusion process, where infected and self-medicated individuals move like fluids through a medium of susceptible individuals. To analyze the spatial dynamics, the Fifth-Order Weighted Essentially Non-Oscillatory (WENO) scheme was applied for spatial discretization of the resulting partial differential equations (PDEs), while the Fourth-Order Runge-Kutta method was used for temporal discretization. The model was tested using COVID-19 data from the Embakasi and Kasarani regions of Nairobi, Kenya. Findings highlighted areas with high contact rates and underscored the need for organized public health initiatives to reduce the prevalence of self-medication in the affected communities.

Indexed as

COVID-19Models, TheoreticalSelf MedicationHumansKenyaPandemicsSARS-CoV-2Spatio-Temporal AnalysisCOVID-19Epidemic flowFluid dynamic approachSpatial model

Identifiers

PMID41923191
PMCPMC13169581

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.