Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41917008›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

Marine heatwaves shift ocean net primary productivity from the tropics toward the poles.

Ce Bian, Zijie Zhao, Neil J Holbrook, Peter G Strutton, Lixin Wu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Ce BianLamont Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA. cebian@ldeo.columbia.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0003-7721-5552
Zijie ZhaoDepartment of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, CA, USA.
Neil J HolbrookInstitute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3523-6254
Peter G StruttonInstitute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2395-9471
Lixin WuFrontiers Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth System and Key Laboratory of Physical Oceanography, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4694-5531

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Marine heatwaves (MHWs), prolonged extreme thermal events, are reshaping ocean ecosystems, yet their influence on global productivity patterns remains poorly understood. Here, we use a global regression framework to disentangle linear thermal effect from nonlinear feedback and demonstrate that MHWs restructure the dominant drivers of ocean net primary production (NPP). MHWs induce a regime shift from sea surface temperature (SST)-independent to SST-dependent controls on NPP anomaly, reflecting an enhanced thermal effect in response to extreme warming. MHW suppressed the NPP anomaly across nutrient-poor low latitudes but increased it in nutrient-rich higher latitudes. The contrasting responses arise from differences in nutrient baselines, with low-nutrient regions exhibiting greater sensitivity to extreme warming. Together, these results reveal an emerging poleward redistribution of ocean productivity and highlight the need to incorporate MHWs into projections of marine ecosystem resilience and climate-biosphere feedbacks.

Identifiers

PMID41917008
PMCPMC13199387

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.