Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41906002›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2026

Hybrid evolutionary-gradient training improves long-term time series forecasting.

Lihong Zhao, Zhihui Chen, Naiqi Wu, Liping Bai

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Lihong ZhaoDepartment of Engineering Science, Macau University of Science and Technology, Macao, 999078, China.
Zhihui ChenSchool of Intelligent and Connected Systems, Guangzhou City Polytechnic, Guangzhou, 511370, China.
Naiqi WuDepartment of Engineering Science, Macau University of Science and Technology, Macao, 999078, China.
Liping BaiDepartment of Engineering Science, Macau University of Science and Technology, Macao, 999078, China. lipbai@must.edu.mo.

Funding

Guangdong Provincial Science and Technology Plan Project 2023A0505020007)Science and Technology Development Fund in Macau 0027/2022/AGJ
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Long-Term Time Series Forecasting requires robust learning under nonstationarity, noisy gradients, and delayed adaptation caused by distribution shifts. Evolutionary-Guided Module Fusion with Gradient Refinement (EGMF-GR) is an architecture-agnostic training framework that combines population-based global exploration with gradient-based local refinement, rather than introducing a new forecasting architecture. During training, aligned modules between the current individual and the global best individual are monitored, and their discrepancies are evaluated using multiple complementary criteria. An interquartile range based hybrid threshold determines whether each module state is fused or retained. Fusion is performed at the module state level by merging learnable parameters and synchronizing non-learnable buffers, which reduces state inconsistency after merging and improves optimization stability. Experiments on eight public benchmarks demonstrate that EGMF-GR improves forecasting accuracy and training stability under a controlled optimization budget.

Indexed as

Evolutionary optimizationGradient-based refinementHybrid training frameworkLong-term time series forecastingModule-level fusion

Identifiers

PMID41906002
PMCPMC13039680

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.