Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41896212›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

Rapid subsurface warming in the subpolar North Atlantic from freshening.

Laurie C Menviel, Gabriel Pontes, Mathieu Lapeze, Himadri Saini

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Laurie C MenvielClimate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia. l.menviel@unsw.edu.au.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5068-1591
Gabriel PontesClimate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4397-4238
Mathieu LapezeClimate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Himadri SainiClimate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.

Funding

Department of Education and Training | Australian Research Council (ARC) DP220102134Department of Education and Training | Australian Research Council (ARC) SR200100008
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Over recent decades, the Arctic has warmed four times faster than the global average, associated with a decline in sea ice and accelerating Greenland Ice Sheet mass loss, which has contributed to episodic freshening of the subpolar North Atlantic. Here, we show that a 0.05 Sv North Atlantic meltwater flux induces  ~ 1°C subsurface warming within a decade in Baffin Bay, Hudson Strait, and along Greenland's southern and western coasts. This warming arises from enhanced stratification, weakened deep convection in the subpolar gyre, and a weaker Labrador Current. Freshening also alters horizontal density gradients, strengthening cyclonic circulation in the Nordic Seas and causing transient regional warming. The temperature response significantly depends on the location of deep-ocean convection, highlighting the need for simulations with accurate deep-ocean convection. This warming may create a positive feedback, accelerating Greenland and Arctic glacier melt with implications for ice-sheet stability and the strength of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation.

Identifiers

PMID41896212
PMCPMC13201857

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.