Machine Learning Prediction of Transthyretin Binding for Thyroid Hormone Transport Disruption for Chemical Risk Assessment.

Endocrine-Disrupting Chemicals (EDCs) disrupt thyroid hormone (TH) synthesis, transport, metabolism, and action, thereby perturbing systemic endocrine homeostasis. Transthyretin (TTR) is a key TH transport protein that regulates circulating hormone distribution and tissue availability, particularly during critical developmental windows. Chemical interference with TTR-binding may alter TH bioavailability and represent a transport-mediated molecular initiating event within thyroid-axis perturbation. Despite widespread exposure, many thyroidal EDCs remain unidentified, and their health effects are difficult to assess due to multiple simultaneous exposures. To support endocrine hazard identification and chemical prioritization within risk assessment frameworks, we developed machine learning-based QSAR models during the Tox24 challenge, using a dataset of 1512 chemicals to predict TTR-binding affinity. Of these, 67% were used for training, 13% for testing, and 20% for validation. Molecular descriptors were selected by first removing highly correlated features and then ranking the remaining descriptors using mutual information regression. The leverage approach was applied to define the models' applicability domain (AD). Five machine learning algorithms, including gradient boosting regressor (GBR), Random Forest, Lasso Regression, Support Vector Machine (SVM), and regularized SVM models, were developed. The GBR model demonstrated the best overall performance. This model achieved an