Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41892983›Full record

ArticleJournal of market access & health policy2026

Can We Trust PAICs in Rare Diseases? Methodological Challenges and Limitations.

Mikolaj Parkitny, Samuel Aballéa, Piotr Wojciechowski, Mondher Toumi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of market access & health policy, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Mikolaj ParkitnyPublic Health Department, Faculty of Medicine, Aix-Marseille University, 13385 Marseille, France.
Samuel AballéaPublic Health Department, Faculty of Medicine, Aix-Marseille University, 13385 Marseille, France.ORCID 0000-0002-6037-2039
Piotr WojciechowskiClever-Access, Wadowicka 8a, 30-415 Krakow, Poland.ORCID 0000-0001-8400-1171
Mondher ToumiPublic Health Department, Faculty of Medicine, Aix-Marseille University, 13385 Marseille, France.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Population-adjusted indirect comparisons (PAICs), including Matching-Adjusted Indirect Comparison and Simulated Treatment Comparison, are increasingly used to inform health technology assessments. These methods offer a pragmatic approach to generating comparative evidence between treatments when head-to-head trial data are unavailable and standard indirect treatment comparison methods are unfeasible. In rare diseases, however, PAICs often face substantial methodological challenges arising from small sample sizes, limited covariate overlap, and the frequent use of unanchored comparisons that rely on unverifiable assumptions. These limitations can lead to unstable estimates, reduced precision, and bias that may undermine the reliability of findings. Methodological refinements-such as optimized weighting, Bayesian approaches, and doubly robust estimators-provide some improvements but do not resolve these fundamental issues. Current European Joint Clinical Assessment guidance recommends that anchored PAICs be applied with great caution, while unanchored PAICs are considered

Indexed as

matching-adjusted indirect comparisonrare diseasessimulated treatment comparison

Identifiers

PMID41892983
PMCPMC13028332

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.