Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41882884›Full record

ArticleActa paediatrica (Oslo, Norway : 1992)2026

Modelling Impact of Different Varicella Immunisation Strategies Upon Introduction in the Swedish National Programme.

Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba, Frida Kasteng, Annika Ersson, Sören Andersson, Emma Appelqvist, Marie Nordahl, Kari Johansen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Acta paediatrica (Oslo, Norway : 1992), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Gianpaolo Scalia TombaDepartment of Mathematics, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy.
Frida KastengDepartment of Public Health Analysis and Data Management, Public Health Agency of Sweden, Solna, Sweden.
Annika ErssonDepartment of Public Health Analysis and Data Management, Public Health Agency of Sweden, Solna, Sweden.
Sören AnderssonDepartment of Public Health Analysis and Data Management, Public Health Agency of Sweden, Solna, Sweden.
Emma AppelqvistDepartment of Public Health Analysis and Data Management, Public Health Agency of Sweden, Solna, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7058-2419
Marie NordahlDepartment of Public Health Analysis and Data Management, Public Health Agency of Sweden, Solna, Sweden.
Kari JohansenDepartment of Public Health Analysis and Data Management, Public Health Agency of Sweden, Solna, Sweden.

Funding

Public Health Agency of Sweden
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimCountries with varicella immunisation programmes have seen major reductions in disease burden. While two-dose schedules are now universally adopted, dosing ages vary, and some countries initially include catch-up vaccination of older children to speed impact. This modelling study assessed three two-dose schedules in the Swedish setting (1) 12 and 18 months, (2) 18 months and 5 years, and (3) 18 months and 7 years, with and without catch-up of susceptible children based on their medical history.

methodsA deterministic, compartmental, age-structured, dynamic transmission model was used to evaluate the different strategies.

resultsWith coverage similar to other childhood vaccinations in Sweden (≥ 95%) but no catch-up, varicella cases are projected to decrease significantly within four years of programme start for all schedules modelled. However, a temporary rebound may occur around years 4-7 due to accumulating susceptibles before subsiding. Adding catch-up vaccination in this high-coverage setting accelerates and sustains the decline, with varicella disease burden significantly reduced within 2-3 years.

conclusionA national childhood varicella programme in Sweden could cut transmission and disease burden within 4 years, with catch-up vaccination speeding this to a few years and lowering rebound risk. The schedule should be guided by programmatic considerations.

Indexed as

ChickenpoxChickenpox VaccineImmunization ProgramsChildChild, PreschoolHumansImmunization ScheduleInfantSwedenChickenpox Vaccineburden of diseasecatch‐up vaccinationimmunisation strategiesimpactmodellingvaricella vaccine

Identifiers

PMID41882884
PMCPMC13659423

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.