Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41882705›Full record

ArticleRespiratory research2026

Expression of complement pathway genes is associated with progression of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

Aparna C Swaminathan, Hillary Mulder, Megan L Neely, Ramona Schmid, John A Belperio, Nina M Patel, Scott M Palmer, Jamie L Todd

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Respiratory research, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT01915511 (Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Prospective Outcomes), which is not on this map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01915511 recruitingnot on this map

Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Prospective Outcomes (IPF-PRO) and Interstitial Lung Disease Prospective Outcomes (IPF-PRO/ILD-PRO) Registry

Typeobservational_patient_registrySponsorDuke UniversityRan2014 to 2031Enrolled3,000ConditionsIdiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis, Interstitial Lung Disease
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

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No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Aparna C SwaminathanDuke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, North Carolina, USA. aparna.swaminathan@duke.edu.
Hillary MulderDuke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Megan L NeelyDuke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Ramona SchmidBoehringer Ingelheim Pharma GmbH & Co. KG, Biberach, Germany.
John A BelperioDavid Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Nina M PatelBoehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc, Ridgefield, Connecticut, USA.
Scott M PalmerDuke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Jamie L ToddDuke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, North Carolina, USA.

Funding

Complement Pathway Activation in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis and other Progressive Fibrosing Interstitial Lung DiseasesK23HL163381 · NHLBI · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI Aparna Chandra Swaminathan · 2023 to 2026
$757k
NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL163381
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundStudies suggest that the complement pathway may play a role in the pathogenesis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). We evaluated associations between complement pathway gene expression and clinical outcomes in patients with IPF.

methodsRNA was extracted from blood samples collected at enrollment into the IPF-PRO Registry. Patients were divided into discovery (n = 261) and validation (n = 609) cohorts. Patients were followed prospectively while receiving usual care. Using Cox proportional hazards models, we evaluated associations between expression of 45 complement pathway genes and three clinical outcomes. Analyses were unadjusted and adjusted for clinical variables at enrollment.

resultsEight complement pathway genes (CR1, CD59, C2, C1QTNF6, ITGB3, C1QBP, CD55, CR2) were associated with ≥ 1 outcome in the discovery cohort and evaluated in the validation cohort. In the discovery cohort, in unadjusted analyses, higher expression of the membrane-bound complement regulators CR1, CD55, and CD59 was associated with increased risk (hazard ratios [HRs]: 1.75 [95% CI 1.27, 2.41], 1.40 [1.06, 1.85] and 1.62 [1.17, 2.23], respectively), and higher expression of complement pathway component C2 with a decreased risk (HR 0.75 [0.61, 0.91]), of disease progression (absolute decline in forced vital capacity % predicted ≥ 10%, death, or lung transplant). Associations of CR1, CD55 and C2 with disease progression persisted in the validation cohort in adjusted analyses. In the discovery cohort, in unadjusted analyses, higher expression of CR1 and CD55 was associated with increased risk (HRs 2.66 [1.68, 4.23] and 1.90 [1.24, 2.93], respectively), and higher expression of C2 with a decreased risk (HR 0.61 [0.46, 0.80]), of respiratory death; associations with CR1, CD55, and C2 persisted in the validation cohort in adjusted analyses. In the validation cohort, increased expression of C2 was associated with reduced risk of respiratory hospitalization in adjusted analyses (HR 0.65 [0.50, 0.83]). Principal component analysis identified a composite score including complement components and regulators that was associated with increased risk of disease progression and respiratory death in both cohorts.

conclusionsHigher expression of complement regulators and lower expression of complement components, individually and in combination, may be biomarkers of progression of IPF.

trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov (NCT01915511). Registered 5 August 2013, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01915511 .

Indexed as

Complement System ProteinsDisease ProgressionIdiopathic Pulmonary FibrosisAgedCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRegistriesComplement System ProteinsBiomarkersDisease progressionInterstitialLung diseases

Identifiers

PMID41882705
PMCPMC13137633

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.