Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41882130›Full record

ArticleNature2026

Moderate global warming does not rule out extreme global climate outcomes.

Emanuele Bevacqua, Erich Fischer, Jana Sillmann, Jakob Zscheischler

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Emanuele BevacquaDepartment of Compound Environmental Risks, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ, Leipzig, Germany. emanuele.bevacqua@ufz.de.ORCID 0000-0003-0472-5183
Erich FischerInstitute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-1931-6737
Jana SillmannResearch Unit for Sustainability and Climate Risks, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-0219-5345
Jakob ZscheischlerDepartment of Compound Environmental Risks, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ, Leipzig, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-6045-1629

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Effectively communicating worst-case projections of global future climate-hereinafter referred to as worst-case climate outcomes-is essential for risk assessment and developing robust adaptation strategies to global warming

Indexed as

Climate ModelsGlobal WarmingDroughtsForecastingForestsRainRisk Assessment

Identifiers

PMID41882130
PMCPMC13017523

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.